TOP PICK
Ipswich
PROJECTED: 2-0
72%
CONF 62
WIN PROBABILITY
72%
Ipswich
18%
Draw
10%
QPR
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
74%
17%
9%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
84%
7%
8%
DL
25% WEIGHT
72%
18%
10%
FINAL BLEND
72%
18%
10%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 0
xG 2.25 vs 0.65
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
3-0
0.0%
4
2-1
0.0%
5
1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
61%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
38%
BTTS NO
62%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
CONTEXT
·
Ipswich clear second-place favourites at home; QPR's poor away form and 23-point gap dominate.
·
League position/points gap: Ipswich 2nd (81 pts) vs QPR 14th (58 pts) — 23 pt chasm
·
Form split critical: Ipswich home DWDDW (mixed but settled) vs QPR away LDWLL (fragile, 1W in 5)
·
Goal differential stark: Ipswich +30 GD vs QPR -9 GD — attacking threat and defensive solidity gap
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
38%
George Hirst
HOM · F · 11g/42
2
35%
Jack Clarke
HOM · F · 16g/46
3
27%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace
HOM · M · 12g/35
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Ipswich
2
Draw
5
QPR
01 Nov
1-4
29 Dec
0-0
19 Aug
0-1
26 Dec
3-0
20 Oct
0-2
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.