⚡ AI
2-1 · QPR 78%
· Over 2.5 72%
72
📊 FULL-TIME STATS
22
SHOTS
9
12
ON TARGET
2
55
POSSESSION %
45
8
CORNERS
5
9
FOULS
7
1
YELLOW CARDS
3
2.16
XG
0.73
307
PASSES
257
⚡ KEY EVENTS
13'
⚽
Harvey Vale
Normal Goal
25'
⚽
Oscar Fraulo
Normal Goal
46'
🔄
Amadou Salif Mbengue
Substitution
54'
🟨
Sammie Szmodics
Yellow Card
55'
⚽
R. Kone
Normal Goal
61'
🔄
Dion Sanderson
Substitution
62'
🔄
Max Johnston
Substitution
62'
🔄
Daniel Bennie
Substitution
⭐ MAN OF THE MATCH
Harvey Vale
9.2
RATING
📋 PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
QPR
9.2
Harvey Vale
7.9
Daniel Bennie
7.3
Jonathan Varane
Derby
Jacob Widell Zetterström
8.3
Sondre Langås
8.0
Oscar Fraulo
7.7
🏆 LEAGUE CONTEXT
7
Wrexham
46
71
Wrexham
46
71
8
Derby
46
69
Derby
46
69
9
Norwich
46
65
Norwich
46
65
14
Preston
46
60
Preston
46
60
15
QPR
46
58
QPR
46
58
16
Watford
46
57
Watford
46
57
13'
⚽
Harvey Vale
Normal Goal
25'
⚽
Oscar Fraulo
Normal Goal
46'
🔄
Amadou Salif Mbengue
Substitution 1
54'
🟨
Sammie Szmodics
Yellow Card
55'
⚽
R. Kone
Normal Goal
61'
🔄
Dion Sanderson
Substitution 1
62'
🔄
Max Johnston
Substitution 2
62'
🔄
Daniel Bennie
Substitution 2
62'
🔄
Kieran Morgan
Substitution 3
63'
🔄
Oscar Fraulo
Substitution 3
63'
🟨
Sondre Langås
Yellow Card
68'
🔄
R. Kone
Substitution 4
70'
🟨
R. Burrell
Yellow Card
75'
🔄
Lewis Travis
Substitution 4
76'
⚽
Sondre Langås
Normal Goal
79'
🔄
Paul Smyth
Substitution 5
81'
🟨
Ben Brereton Díaz
Yellow Card
88'
⚽
Jaydon Banel
Normal Goal
90'+1
🔄
Sammie Szmodics
Substitution 5
22
SHOTS
9
12
ON TARGET
2
55
POSSESSION %
45
2.16
XG
0.73
8
CORNERS
5
9
FOULS
7
1
YELLOW CARDS
3
22
TOTAL SHOTS
9
12
ON TARGET
2
3
OFF TARGET
4
7
BLOCKED
3
12
INSIDE BOX
8
10
OUTSIDE BOX
1
2.16
XG
0.73
307
TOTAL PASSES
257
245
ACCURATE
186
80
ACCURACY %
72
55
POSSESSION %
45
8
CORNERS
5
2
OFFSIDES
0
0
GK SAVES
10
9
FOULS
7
1
YELLOW CARDS
3
0
RED CARDS
0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
QPR
13 sh
Paul Smyth
5/5
Harvey Val...
3/4
R. Kone
3/3
Jonathan V...
1/1
Derby
3 sh
Sondre Lan...
1/2
Oscar Frau...
1/1
📈 xG RACE
2.16 – 0.73
QPR
Derby
QPR
4-4-2
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 10 Recent meetings
5
QPR
1
D Draws
4
Derby
RECENT MEETINGS
⚡ AI TOP PICK
QPR
PROJECTED: 2-1
78%
CONF 72
WIN PROBABILITY
78%
QPR
16%
Draw
6%
Derby
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
| MODEL | QPR | D | Derby |
|---|---|---|---|
| POISSON | 73% | 17% | 10% |
| ELO | 92% | 5% | 3% |
| DL | 78% | 16% | 6% |
| FINAL | 78% | 16% | 6% |
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
📊 OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
72%
OVER 3.5
—
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
88%
YES
12%
NO
💡 KEY FACTORS
QPR lead 2-1 at 59'; one-goal margin at midpoint favors home but Derby comeback remains plausible.
One-goal lead past halfway — stronger than near full-time but not lock-in
BTTS already achieved; likely to remain given open play so far
~31 minutes remaining allows Derby time for equalization if momentum shifts
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
10 bk
OVER
1.29
UNDER
3.36
2.5
11 bk
OVER
1.95
UNDER
1.84
3.5
10 bk
OVER
3.32
UNDER
1.30
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
1.72
10 bk
NO
2.03
10 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25
1.48 5bk
Away -0.5
1.40 6bk
Away -0.75
1.25 6bk
Away -1
1.13 5bk
Away -1.25
1.09 3bk
Away -1.5
1.09 5bk
🏟 STADIUM
Loftus Road Stadium
London
REFEREE
John Busby, England
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
John Busby, En...
—
QPR MGR
Julien Stephan
head coach
DER... MGR
John Eustace
head coach
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
QPR · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
Derby · 20 OUT
Matt Clarke
· Red Card
Lars-Jørgen...
· Muscle Injur...
C. Elder
· Toe Injury
Kane Wilson
· Knee Surgery
+ 16 more
KICK-OFFSat, 25 Apr · 14:00
RoundRegular Season - 45
Season2025
🏟
Loftus Road Stadium
London