GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
PEC Zwolle
Sun, 17 May · 12:30
Eredivisie
Feyenoord
TOP PICK
Feyenoord
PROJECTED: 1-2
55%
CONF 58
WIN PROBABILITY
24%
PEC Zwolle
21%
Draw
55%
Feyenoord
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
14% 20% 66%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
26% 11% 64%
DL 25% WEIGHT
24% 21% 55%
FINAL BLEND
24% 21% 55%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 2
xG 0.88 vs 2.12
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 0-2
0.0%
2 0-1
0.0%
3 1-2
0.0%
4 1-1
0.0%
5 0-3
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
62%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
66%
BTTS NO
34%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 24% 5.07 +21.6%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 45% 2.36 +6.3%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 21% 4.52 -5.1%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 79% 1.18 -6.6%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 66% 1.41 -6.9%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 76% 1.17 -11.2%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 55% 1.56 -14.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.35 -16.1%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
FEYENOORD FACTORS
+30% Feyenoord clear away favourite but PEC's home form and market BTTS overpricing (69% vs 66% AI) suggest slight value in backing under.
+25% Feyenoord 25-point table lead + strong away form (WD wins at road venues) vs PEC's relegation-zone weakness (13th, -25 GD)
+20% PEC home form (WDWDD) provides modest cushion but inconsistent; Feyenoord away form (WDDDL) more reliable
CONTEXT
· Market BTTS at 69% appears overpriced — SportMonks 59.5%, AI 66% — modest value in Under 2.5
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Koen Kostons
HOM · F · 11g/33
45%
2
A. Ueda
AWY · 25g/31
32%
3
Anis Hadj Moussa
AWY · M · 9g/29
23%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
PEC Zwolle
0
Draw
10
Feyenoord
06 Dec 6-1
25 Apr 4-0
18 Aug 1-5
05 May 5-0
08 Oct 0-2
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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