⚡ AI
1-3 · Excelsior 93%
· Over 2.5 92%
88
📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE
▼ Sparta Rotte...
LAST 30 MIN
▲ Excelsior
📊 FULL-TIME STATS
18
SHOTS
16
5
ON TARGET
4
113
POSSESSION %
102
5
CORNERS
2
11
FOULS
15
4
YELLOW CARDS
0
421
PASSES
380
⚡ KEY EVENTS
14'
⚽
Giannino Vianello
0-1
40'
🟨
Vito van Crooij
Foul
46'
🔄
Milan Zonneveld
46'
🔄
Julian Baas
50'
⚽
Arthur Zagré
0-2
53'
⚽
Ayoni Santos
1-2
54'
🟨
Julian Baas
Foul
62'
⚽
Noah Naujoks
1-3
⭐ MAN OF THE MATCH
Ayoni Santos
8.2
RATING
📋 PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
Sparta Rotterdam
8.2
Ayoni Santos
6.9
Jonathan de Guzmán
6.9
Tobias Lauritsen
Excelsior
Arthur Zagre
7.3
Noah Naujoks
7.3
Lennard Hartjes
7.2
🏆 LEAGUE CONTEXT
9
Groningen
34
48
Groningen
34
48
10
Sparta Rotterdam
34
43
Sparta Rotterdam
34
43
11
Fortuna Sittard
34
39
Fortuna Sittard
34
39
12
GO Ahead Eagles
34
38
GO Ahead Eagles
34
38
13
Excelsior
34
38
Excelsior
34
38
14
Telstar
34
37
Telstar
34
37
💬 COMMENTARY
90'
VAR
Goal disallowed
90'
GOAL · 2-3
4th Goal
89'
CARD · Foul
4th Yellowcard
86'
SUBST
9th Substitution
86'
SUBST
8th Substitution
79'
SUBST
7th Substitution
75'
SUBST
6th Substitution
71'
SUBST
5th Substitution
71'
CARD · Foul
3rd Yellowcard
71'
SUBST
4th Substitution
64'
SUBST
3rd Substitution
62'
GOAL · 1-3
3rd Goal
14'
⚽
Giannino Vianello
0-1
40'
🟨
Vito van Crooij
Foul
46'
🔄
Milan Zonneveld
46'
🔄
Julian Baas
50'
⚽
Arthur Zagré
0-2
53'
⚽
Ayoni Santos
1-2
54'
🟨
Julian Baas
Foul
62'
⚽
Noah Naujoks
1-3
64'
🔄
Ilias Bronkhorst
71'
🔄
Patrick van Aanholt
71'
🟨
Teo Quintero
Foul
71'
🔄
Jonathan de Guzmán
75'
🔄
Jerolldino Bergraaf
79'
🔄
Jens Toornstra
86'
🔄
Adam Carlén
86'
🔄
Szymon Wlodarczyk
89'
🟨
Patrick van Aanholt
Foul
90'+1
⚽
Milan Zonneveld
2-3
90'+4
📺
Milan Zonneveld
18
SHOTS
16
5
ON TARGET
4
113
POSSESSION %
102
0
XG
0
5
CORNERS
2
11
FOULS
15
4
YELLOW CARDS
0
18
TOTAL SHOTS
16
5
ON TARGET
4
6
OFF TARGET
9
7
BLOCKED
3
0
INSIDE BOX
0
0
OUTSIDE BOX
0
0
XG
0
421
TOTAL PASSES
380
0
ACCURATE
0
340
ACCURACY %
301
113
POSSESSION %
102
5
CORNERS
2
11
OFFSIDES
11
1
GK SAVES
3
11
FOULS
15
4
YELLOW CARDS
0
0
RED CARDS
0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
Sparta Rot...
5 sh
Ayoni Sant...
1/2
Tobias Lau...
0/1
Julian Baa...
0/1
Joshua Kit...
1/1
Excelsior
6 sh
Lennard Ha...
0/3
Arthur Zag...
2/2
Noah Naujo...
1/1
Sparta Rotterdam
4-2-3-1
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 10 Recent meetings
5
Sparta Rotte...
1
D Draws
4
Excelsior
RECENT MEETINGS
⚡ AI TOP PICK
Excelsior
PROJECTED: 1-3
93%
CONF 88
WIN PROBABILITY
2%
Sparta Rot...
5%
Draw
93%
Excelsior
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
| MODEL | Sparta... | D | Excels... |
|---|---|---|---|
| POISSON | 4% | 9% | 88% |
| ELO | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| DL | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| FINAL | 2% | 5% | 93% |
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 3
📊 OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
92%
OVER 3.5
—
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
88%
YES
12%
NO
💡 KEY FACTORS
Excelsior 2 goals up with 18 min left; Sparta's 3 substitutions at 71' signal desperation but comeback from 1-3 down is <5% probability.
2-goal lead (3-1) at minute 72 — only ~5% of matches overturned from here
Sparta's recent form (LDLLD) and home form (DLWDD) show poor defensive shape; Excelsior's road form (WDDLL) mixed but currently executing
Excelsior's xG trajectory (goal at 62') + Sparta's yellow card (54') suggests defensive collapse, not temporary blip
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
10 bk
OVER
1.13
UNDER
5.37
2.5
10 bk
OVER
1.46
UNDER
2.57
3.5
10 bk
OVER
2.19
UNDER
1.65
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
1.42
10 bk
NO
2.63
10 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25
2.07 7bk
Away -0.5
1.81 7bk
Away -0.75
1.61 6bk
Away -1
1.42 6bk
Away -1.25
1.35 5bk
Away -1.5
1.29 5bk
🏟 STADIUM
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Rotterdam · 11,026 seats
REFEREE
Allard Lindhout, Netherlands
📺 WHERE TO WATCH
ID
Vidio
MY
Astro Go
sooka
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Allard Lindhou...
—
SPA... MGR
Maurice Steijn
head coach
EXC... MGR
Ruben den Uil
head coach
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
Sparta Rot... · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
Excelsior · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
KICK-OFFSun, 17 May · 12:30
RoundRegular Season - 34
Season2025
SURFACEArtificial turf
CAPACITY11,026
🏟
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Rotterdam · 11,026