GOALSENSE
📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE
▼ Heerenveen LAST 30 MIN ▲ Ajax
📊 FULL-TIME STATS
16 SHOTS 22
5 ON TARGET 6
116 POSSESSION % 105
10 CORNERS 6
9 FOULS 8
0 YELLOW CARDS 3
560 PASSES 497
⚡ KEY EVENTS
26' 🟨 Jorthy Mokio Foul
58' 🟨 Lucas Rosa Foul
69' 🔄 Rayane Bounida
69' 🔄 Youri Regeer
70' 🟨 Youri Regeer Foul
75' 🔄 Hristiyan Petrov
79' 🔄 Kasper Dolberg
84' 🔄 Luuk Brouwers
⭐ MAN OF THE MATCH
Joris van Overeem
8.7
RATING
📋 PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
Heerenveen
8.7 Joris van Overeem
8.2 Bernt Klaverboer
8.2 Sam Kersten
Ajax
Steven Berghuis 8.0
Ko Itakura 7.9
Davy Klaassen 7.7
🏆 LEAGUE CONTEXT
4 Twente 34 58
5 Ajax 34 56
6 Utrecht 34 53
7 AZ Alkmaar 34 52
8 Heerenveen 34 51
9 Groningen 34 48
💬 COMMENTARY
85'
SUBST
8th Substitution
84'
SUBST
7th Substitution
84'
SUBST
6th Substitution
84'
SUBST
5th Substitution
79'
SUBST
4th Substitution
75'
SUBST
3rd Substitution
70'
CARD · Foul
3rd Yellowcard
69'
SUBST
2nd Substitution
69'
SUBST
1st Substitution
58'
CARD · Foul
2nd Yellowcard
26'
CARD · Foul
1st Yellowcard
26' 🟨
Jorthy Mokio
Foul
58' 🟨
Lucas Rosa
Foul
69' 🔄
Rayane Bounida
69' 🔄
Youri Regeer
70' 🟨
Youri Regeer
Foul
75' 🔄
Hristiyan Petrov
79' 🔄
Kasper Dolberg
84' 🔄
Luuk Brouwers
84' 🔄
Eser Gürbüz
84' 🔄
Lasse Nordås
85' 🔄
Maher Carrizo
16 SHOTS 22
5 ON TARGET 6
116 POSSESSION % 105
0 XG 0
10 CORNERS 6
9 FOULS 8
0 YELLOW CARDS 3
16 TOTAL SHOTS 22
5 ON TARGET 6
6 OFF TARGET 10
5 BLOCKED 6
0 INSIDE BOX 0
0 OUTSIDE BOX 0
0 XG 0
560 TOTAL PASSES 497
0 ACCURATE 0
474 ACCURACY % 429
116 POSSESSION % 105
10 CORNERS 6
20 OFFSIDES 19
6 GK SAVES 4
9 FOULS 8
0 YELLOW CARDS 3
0 RED CARDS 0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
Heerenveen 1 sh
Oliver Bra... 0/1
Ajax 6 sh
Sean Steur 2/4
Steven Ber... 0/2
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 10 Recent meetings
1
Heerenveen
1
D Draws
8
Ajax
⚡ AI TOP PICK
Heerenveen
PROJECTED: 1-1
39%
CONF 54
WIN PROBABILITY
39%
Heerenveen
25%
Draw
36%
Ajax
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
MODEL Heeren... D Ajax
POISSON 35% 31% 34%
ELO 44% 15% 41%
DL 39% 25% 36%
FINAL 39% 25% 36%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
📊 OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
62%
OVER 3.5
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
65%
YES
35%
NO
💡 KEY FACTORS
Tight match with Ajax slight edge despite Heerenveen's perfect home form; BTTS likely given recent form.
Heerenveen's home dominance (WWWWW) vs Ajax road weakness (WWDLD) creates tension
Ajax stronger season quality (55 pts, +21 GD) but road form concerning (mixed results)
Both teams scoring in 5/10 recent matches suggests high BTTS probability
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
OVER
1.07
UNDER
7.27
10 bk
2.5
OVER
1.31
UNDER
3.24
10 bk
3.5
OVER
1.82
UNDER
1.96
11 bk
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
1.31
10 bk
NO
3.18
10 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.42 6bk
Away -0.5 1.39 3bk
Away -0.75 1.23 4bk
Away -1 1.12 3bk
Away -1.25 1.10 3bk
Away -1.5 1.09 4bk
🏟 STADIUM
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Heerenveen · 27,224 seats
REFEREE
J. Kooij
📺 WHERE TO WATCH
ID
Vidio
MY
Astro Go sooka
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
J. Kooij
HEE... MGR
Robin Veldman
head coach
AJA... MGR
Oscar Garcia J...
head coach
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
Heerenveen · 0 OUT

No injuries reported

Ajax · 11 OUT
Steven Bergh... · Groin Injury
Branco Van d... · Back Injury
Kasper Dolbe... · Abdominal st...
James McConn... · Health probl...
+ 7 more
KICK-OFFSun, 17 May · 12:30
RoundRegular Season - 34
Season2025
SURFACEGrass
CAPACITY27,224
🏟
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Heerenveen · 27,224