⚡ AI
2-0 · AZ Alkmaar 65%
61
📊 FULL-TIME STATS
16
SHOTS
17
10
ON TARGET
11
86
POSSESSION %
92
7
CORNERS
6
11
FOULS
6
1
YELLOW CARDS
1
430
PASSES
355
⚡ KEY EVENTS
54'
🔄
Jayden Candelaria
55'
🔄
Juho Talvitie
55'
🔄
Charles-Andreas Brym
59'
🟨
Rio Hillen
Foul
61'
⚽
Moussa Soumano
2-1
68'
🔄
André Ayew
68'
🔄
Lewis Holtby
71'
⚽
Moussa Soumano
2-2
⭐ MAN OF THE MATCH
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro
9.2
RATING
📋 PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
AZ Alkmaar
9.2
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro
8.7
Sven Mijnans
7.7
Mateo Chávez
NAC Breda
Moussa Soumano
8.3
Cherrion Valerius
7.6
Daniel Bielica
7.3
🏆 LEAGUE CONTEXT
6
Utrecht
34
53
Utrecht
34
53
7
AZ Alkmaar
34
52
AZ Alkmaar
34
52
8
Heerenveen
34
51
Heerenveen
34
51
16
FC Volendam
34
32
FC Volendam
34
32
17
NAC Breda
34
29
NAC Breda
34
29
18
Heracles
34
19
Heracles
34
19
💬 COMMENTARY
89'
GOAL · 2-3
5th Goal
71'
GOAL · 2-2
4th Goal
68'
SUBST
8th Substitution
68'
SUBST
7th Substitution
61'
GOAL · 2-1
3rd Goal
59'
CARD · Foul
1st Yellowcard
55'
SUBST
3rd Substitution
55'
SUBST
4th Substitution
54'
SUBST
2nd Substitution
54'
🔄
Jayden Candelaria
55'
🔄
Juho Talvitie
55'
🔄
Charles-Andreas Brym
59'
🟨
Rio Hillen
Foul
61'
⚽
Moussa Soumano
2-1
68'
🔄
André Ayew
68'
🔄
Lewis Holtby
71'
⚽
Moussa Soumano
2-2
89'
⚽
Juho Talvitie
2-3
16
SHOTS
17
10
ON TARGET
11
86
POSSESSION %
92
0
XG
0
7
CORNERS
6
11
FOULS
6
1
YELLOW CARDS
1
16
TOTAL SHOTS
17
10
ON TARGET
11
4
OFF TARGET
4
2
BLOCKED
2
0
INSIDE BOX
0
0
OUTSIDE BOX
0
0
XG
0
430
TOTAL PASSES
355
0
ACCURATE
0
367
ACCURACY %
300
86
POSSESSION %
92
7
CORNERS
6
18
OFFSIDES
19
7
GK SAVES
7
11
FOULS
6
1
YELLOW CARDS
1
0
RED CARDS
0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
AZ Alkmaar
5 sh
Sven Mijna...
2/3
Mateo Cháv...
1/1
Jordy Clas...
0/1
NAC Breda
9 sh
Moussa Sou...
5/5
Clint Leem...
2/3
Juho Talvi...
1/1
AZ Alkmaar
4-2-3-1
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 10 Recent meetings
8
AZ Alkmaar
1
D Draws
1
NAC Breda
RECENT MEETINGS
⚡ AI TOP PICK
AZ Alkmaar
PROJECTED: 2-0
65%
CONF 61
WIN PROBABILITY
65%
AZ Alkmaar
22%
Draw
13%
NAC Breda
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
| MODEL | AZ Alk... | D | NAC Br... |
|---|---|---|---|
| POISSON | 72% | 18% | 10% |
| ELO | 76% | 12% | 12% |
| DL | 65% | 22% | 13% |
| FINAL | 65% | 22% | 13% |
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 0
📊 OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
58%
OVER 3.5
—
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
48%
YES
52%
NO
💡 KEY FACTORS
AZ strong at home vs relegation-form Breda; expect comfortable home win, likely 2-0 or 2-1.
AZ home form DDWWW vs NAC away form LDLLL — massive asymmetry favouring home
23-point table gap (AZ 6th/51pts vs NAC 17th/28pts) with -23 goal diff for Breda
Bookmaker home-win odds (71.4%) slightly overstate due to BTTS/Over 2.5 overpricing (SportMonks shows lower BTTS 46%)
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
10 bk
OVER
1.07
UNDER
7.36
2.5
10 bk
OVER
1.29
UNDER
3.33
3.5
11 bk
OVER
1.78
UNDER
2.00
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
1.53
10 bk
NO
2.33
10 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25
4.37 3bk
Away -0.5
3.42 2bk
Away -0.75
3.12 5bk
Away -1
2.83 7bk
Away -1.25
2.31 7bk
Away -1.5
2.06 10bk
🏟 STADIUM
AFAS Stadion
Alkmaar · 19,500 seats
REFEREE
Edwin Van de Graaf, Netherlands
📺 WHERE TO WATCH
ID
Vidio
MY
Astro Go
sooka
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Edwin Van de G...
—
AZ... MGR
Leeroy Echteld
head coach
NAC... MGR
Carl Hoefkens
head coach
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
AZ Alkmaar · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
NAC Breda · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
KICK-OFFSun, 17 May · 12:30
RoundRegular Season - 34
Season2025
SURFACEGrass
CAPACITY19,500
🏟
AFAS Stadion
Alkmaar · 19,500