⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Feyenoord
PROJECTED: 2-1
56%
CONF 58
WIN PROBABILITY
56%
Feyenoord
22%
Draw
22%
AZ Alkmaar
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
67%
19%
14%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
65%
12%
23%
DL
25% WEIGHT
56%
22%
22%
FINAL BLEND
56%
22%
22%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.14 vs 0.86
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
2-1
0.0%
4
1-1
0.0%
5
3-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
65%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
64%
BTTS NO
36%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
FEYENOORD FACTORS
+30%
Feyenoord clear home favourite on quality and form; AZ vulnerable on road but capable of scoring.
+25%
Feyenoord +9 pts in table, +10 GD; strong home form (WDWWW)
CONTEXT
·
AZ weak away record (DLLWL) vs mid-tier opponents; recent overall form slump (DDDWL)
·
Both teams' xG trends missing; bookmaker BTTS (68%) and Over 2.5 (69%) suggest open play likely
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
30%
A. Ueda
HOM · F · 25g/31
2
28%
T. Parrott
AWY · F · 10g/13
3
22%
T. Parrott
AWY · F · 16g/27
4
11%
Sven Mijnans
AWY · M · 7g/13
5
9%
Ibrahim Sadiq
AWY · F · 4g/11
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
8
Feyenoord
1
Draw
1
AZ Alkmaar
21 Sep
3-3
05 Apr
0-1
02 Nov
3-2
04 Feb
0-1
12 Nov
1-0
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.