⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
PEC Zwolle
PROJECTED: 2-1
58%
CONF 52
WIN PROBABILITY
58%
PEC Zwolle
21%
Draw
21%
Heracles
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
67%
19%
14%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
67%
11%
22%
DL
25% WEIGHT
58%
21%
21%
FINAL BLEND
58%
21%
21%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.15 vs 0.85
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
2-1
0.0%
4
1-1
0.0%
5
3-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
60%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
HERACLES FACTORS
+30%
PEC slight home favourite but Heracles' abysmal away form (0/5) and -45 GD make this volatile; draw is live at current odds.
+25%
PEC 13th vs Heracles 18th (15-pt gap), but PEC home form mixed (DWDDL) softens edge
+20%
Heracles winless away (LLLLL) and -45 goal differential vs PEC's -25 — PEC clear quality advantage
CONTEXT
·
Both ML (SportMonks 56% home) and bookmaker odds (65% home) anchor above AI; modest disagree signals uncertainty
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
61%
Koen Kostons
HOM · F · 11g/33
2
39%
J. Hornkamp
AWY · 10g/14
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
5
PEC Zwolle
0
Draw
5
Heracles
02 Nov
8-2
02 Mar
4-2
01 Sep
3-0
28 Apr
3-1
01 Oct
2-1
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.