GOALSENSE
📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE
▼ Excelsior LAST 30 MIN ▲ Utrecht
📊 FULL-TIME STATS
18 SHOTS 10
9 ON TARGET 3
59 POSSESSION % 41
3 CORNERS 2
12 FOULS 8
0 YELLOW CARDS 3
2.78 XG 0.96
526 PASSES 360
⚡ KEY EVENTS
11' Noah Naujoks Normal Goal
17' VAR Noah Naujoks Goal Disallowed - offside
29' 🟨 M. Didden Yellow Card
31' 🟨 M. Didden Yellow Card
31' 🟥 M. Didden Red Card
36' Derensili Sanches Fernandes Normal Goal
41' 🔄 A. Stepanov Substitution
46' 🔄 S. El Karouani Substitution
⭐ MAN OF THE MATCH
Derensili Sanches Fernandes
10.0
RATING
📋 PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
Excelsior
10.0 Derensili Sanches Fernandes
8.3 Noah Naujoks
8.2 Lennard Hartjes
Utrecht
A. Engwanda 6.9
C. Bozdoğan 6.9
G. Zechiël 6.7
🏆 LEAGUE CONTEXT
7 Heerenveen 31 47
8 Utrecht 31 44
9 Groningen 31 42
13 PEC Zwolle 31 34
14 Excelsior 31 31
15 FC Volendam 31 31
💬 COMMENTARY
64'
CARD · Yellow Card
Tripping
31'
CARD · Red Card
Roughing
31'
CARD · Yellow Card
Roughing
29'
CARD · Yellow Card
Holding
11'
Noah Naujoks
Normal Goal
17' 📺
Noah Naujoks
Goal Disallowed - offside
29' 🟨
M. Didden
Yellow Card
31' 🟨
M. Didden
Yellow Card
31' 🟥
M. Didden
Red Card
36'
Derensili Sanches Fernandes
Normal Goal
41' 🔄
A. Stepanov
Substitution 1
46' 🔄
S. El Karouani
Substitution 2
55'
Derensili Sanches Fernandes
Normal Goal
63' 🔄
Emil Hansson
Substitution 1
64' 🟨
G. Zechiël
Yellow Card
69'
Irakli Yegoian
Normal Goal
72' 🔄
G. Zechiël
Substitution 3
76' 🔄
Derensili Sanches Fernandes
Substitution 2
76' 🔄
Irakli Yegoian
Substitution 3
80' 🔄
Ángel Alarcón
Substitution 4
80' 🔄
Y. Cathline
Substitution 5
85' 🔄
Noah Naujoks
Substitution 4
85' 🔄
Rick Meissen
Substitution 5
90'+3
Lennard Hartjes
Normal Goal
18 SHOTS 10
9 ON TARGET 3
59 POSSESSION % 41
2.78 XG 0.96
3 CORNERS 2
12 FOULS 8
0 YELLOW CARDS 3
18 TOTAL SHOTS 10
9 ON TARGET 3
6 OFF TARGET 3
3 BLOCKED 4
14 INSIDE BOX 7
4 OUTSIDE BOX 3
2.78 XG 0.96
526 TOTAL PASSES 360
456 ACCURATE 277
87 ACCURACY % 77
59 POSSESSION % 41
3 CORNERS 2
3 OFFSIDES 1
3 GK SAVES 4
12 FOULS 8
0 YELLOW CARDS 3
0 RED CARDS 1
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
Excelsior 9 sh
Noah Naujo... 2/5
Derensili... 2/3
Lennard Ha... 1/1
Utrecht 3 sh
Y. Cathlin... 1/2
G. Zechiël 0/1
📈 xG RACE 2.780.96
2.8 0 0' 90'
Excelsior Utrecht
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 10 Recent meetings
0
Excelsior
5
D Draws
5
Utrecht
⚡ AI TOP PICK
Excelsior
PROJECTED: 3-0
96%
CONF 87
WIN PROBABILITY
96%
Excelsior
3%
Draw
1%
Utrecht
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
MODEL Excels... D Utrech...
POISSON 89% 8% 3%
ELO 98% 1% 1%
DL 96% 3% 1%
FINAL 96% 3% 1%
PREDICTED SCORE
3 - 0
📊 OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
92%
OVER 3.5
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
5%
YES
95%
NO
💡 KEY FACTORS
Excelsior 3–0 up with 35 minutes left and Utrecht reduced to 10 men since 31'; home win is near-certain.
3-goal lead past 55' with Utrecht down to 10 men (red card 31')
Utrecht's numerical disadvantage severely limits comeback probability
Excelsior scoring freely (3 goals in 55 min) vs weakened opposition
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
OVER
1.20
UNDER
4.14
10 bk
2.5
OVER
1.71
UNDER
2.10
11 bk
3.5
OVER
2.73
UNDER
1.42
10 bk
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
1.58
16 bk
NO
2.27
16 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.43 6bk
Away -0.5 1.36 3bk
Away -0.75 1.21 4bk
Away -1 1.09 3bk
Away -1.25 1.08 3bk
Away -1.5 1.07 4bk
🏟 STADIUM
Stadion Woudestein
Rotterdam
REFEREE
Sander van der Eijk, Netherlands
📺 WHERE TO WATCH
ID
Vidio
MY
Astro Go sooka
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Sander van der...
EXC... MGR
Ruben den Uil
head coach
UTR... MGR
Ron Jans
head coach
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
Excelsior · 0 OUT

No injuries reported

Utrecht · 19 OUT
Y. Cathline · Leg Injury
E. Demircan · Inactive
R. El Arguio... · Knee Injury
K. Finnsson · Inactive
+ 15 more
KICK-OFFSun, 26 Apr · 10:15
RoundRegular Season - 31
Season2025
🏟
Stadion Woudestein
Rotterdam