⚡ AI
3-0 · Excelsior 96%
· Over 2.5 92%
87
📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE
▼ Excelsior
LAST 30 MIN
▲ Utrecht
📊 FULL-TIME STATS
18
SHOTS
10
9
ON TARGET
3
59
POSSESSION %
41
3
CORNERS
2
12
FOULS
8
0
YELLOW CARDS
3
2.78
XG
0.96
526
PASSES
360
⚡ KEY EVENTS
11'
⚽
Noah Naujoks
Normal Goal
17'
VAR
Noah Naujoks
Goal Disallowed - offside
29'
🟨
Matisse Didden
Yellow Card
31'
🟨
Matisse Didden
Yellow Card
31'
🟥
Matisse Didden
Red Card
36'
⚽
Derensili Sanches Fernandes
Normal Goal
41'
🔄
Artem Stepanov
Substitution
46'
🔄
Souffian El Karouani
Substitution
⭐ MAN OF THE MATCH
Derensili Sanches Fernandes
10.0
RATING
📋 PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
Excelsior
10.0
Derensili Sanches Fernandes
8.3
Noah Naujoks
8.2
Lennard Hartjes
Utrecht
Alonzo Engwanda
6.9
Can Bozdoğan
6.9
Gjivai Zechiël
6.7
🏆 LEAGUE CONTEXT
5
Ajax
34
56
Ajax
34
56
6
Utrecht
34
53
Utrecht
34
53
7
AZ Alkmaar
34
52
AZ Alkmaar
34
52
12
GO Ahead Eagles
34
38
GO Ahead Eagles
34
38
13
Excelsior
34
38
Excelsior
34
38
14
Telstar
34
37
Telstar
34
37
💬 COMMENTARY
64'
CARD · Yellow Card
Tripping
31'
CARD · Red Card
Roughing
31'
CARD · Yellow Card
Roughing
29'
CARD · Yellow Card
Holding
11'
⚽
Noah Naujoks
Normal Goal
17'
📺
Noah Naujoks
Goal Disallowed - offside
29'
🟨
Matisse Didden
Yellow Card
31'
🟨
Matisse Didden
Yellow Card
31'
🟥
Matisse Didden
Red Card
36'
⚽
Derensili Sanches Fernandes
Normal Goal
41'
🔄
Artem Stepanov
Substitution 1
46'
🔄
Souffian El Karouani
Substitution 2
55'
⚽
Derensili Sanches Fernandes
Normal Goal
63'
🔄
Emil Hansson
Substitution 1
64'
🟨
Gjivai Zechiël
Yellow Card
69'
⚽
Irakli Yegoian
Normal Goal
72'
🔄
Gjivai Zechiël
Substitution 3
76'
🔄
Derensili Sanches Fernandes
Substitution 2
76'
🔄
Irakli Yegoian
Substitution 3
80'
🔄
Ángel Alarcón
Substitution 4
80'
🔄
Yoann Cathline
Substitution 5
85'
🔄
Noah Naujoks
Substitution 4
85'
🔄
Rick Meissen
Substitution 5
90'+3
⚽
Lennard Hartjes
Normal Goal
18
SHOTS
10
9
ON TARGET
3
59
POSSESSION %
41
2.78
XG
0.96
3
CORNERS
2
12
FOULS
8
0
YELLOW CARDS
3
18
TOTAL SHOTS
10
9
ON TARGET
3
6
OFF TARGET
3
3
BLOCKED
4
14
INSIDE BOX
7
4
OUTSIDE BOX
3
2.78
XG
0.96
526
TOTAL PASSES
360
456
ACCURATE
277
87
ACCURACY %
77
59
POSSESSION %
41
3
CORNERS
2
3
OFFSIDES
1
3
GK SAVES
4
12
FOULS
8
0
YELLOW CARDS
3
0
RED CARDS
1
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
Excelsior
9 sh
Noah Naujo...
2/5
Derensili...
2/3
Lennard Ha...
1/1
Utrecht
3 sh
Yoann Cath...
1/2
Gjivai Zec...
0/1
📈 xG RACE
2.78 – 0.96
Excelsior
Utrecht
Excelsior
4-3-3
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 10 Recent meetings
0
Excelsior
5
D Draws
5
Utrecht
RECENT MEETINGS
⚡ AI TOP PICK
Excelsior
PROJECTED: 3-0
96%
CONF 87
WIN PROBABILITY
96%
Excelsior
3%
Draw
1%
Utrecht
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
| MODEL | Excels... | D | Utrech... |
|---|---|---|---|
| POISSON | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| ELO | 98% | 1% | 1% |
| DL | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| FINAL | 96% | 3% | 1% |
PREDICTED SCORE
3 - 0
📊 OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
92%
OVER 3.5
—
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
5%
YES
95%
NO
💡 KEY FACTORS
Excelsior 3–0 up with 35 minutes left and Utrecht reduced to 10 men since 31'; home win is near-certain.
3-goal lead past 55' with Utrecht down to 10 men (red card 31')
Utrecht's numerical disadvantage severely limits comeback probability
Excelsior scoring freely (3 goals in 55 min) vs weakened opposition
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
10 bk
OVER
1.20
UNDER
4.14
2.5
11 bk
OVER
1.71
UNDER
2.10
3.5
10 bk
OVER
2.73
UNDER
1.42
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
1.58
16 bk
NO
2.27
16 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25
1.43 6bk
Away -0.5
1.36 3bk
Away -0.75
1.21 4bk
Away -1
1.09 3bk
Away -1.25
1.08 3bk
Away -1.5
1.07 4bk
🏟 STADIUM
Stadion Woudestein
Rotterdam
REFEREE
S. van der Eijk
📺 WHERE TO WATCH
ID
Vidio
MY
Astro Go
sooka
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
S. van der Eij...
—
EXC... MGR
Ruben den Uil
head coach
UTR... MGR
Ron Jans
head coach
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
Excelsior · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
Utrecht · 19 OUT
Yoann Cathli...
· Leg Injury
E. Demircan
· Inactive
Rafik El Arg...
· Knee Injury
K. Finnsson
· Inactive
+ 15 more
KICK-OFFSun, 26 Apr · 10:15
RoundRegular Season - 31
Season2025
🏟
Stadion Woudestein
Rotterdam