GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Newcastle
Sun, 17 May · 16:30
Premier League
West Ham
TOP PICK
Newcastle
PROJECTED: 3-1
97%
CONF 88
WIN PROBABILITY
97%
Newcastle
2%
Draw
1%
West Ham
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
88% 8% 4%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
98% 1% 1%
DL 25% WEIGHT
97% 2% 1%
FINAL BLEND
97% 2% 1%
PREDICTED SCORE
3 - 1
xG 3.38 vs 0.62
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 3-0
0.0%
2 2-0
0.0%
3 4-0
0.0%
4 3-1
0.0%
5 5-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
92%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
94%
BTTS NO
6%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 97% 2.22 +115.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 92% 1.51 +38.7%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 99% 1.38 +36.7%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 94% 1.44 +35.0%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 98% 1.26 +23.9%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 2% 3.76 -92.5%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 3% 1.66 -95.0%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 1% 2.99 -97.0%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
NEWCASTLE FACTORS
+30% Newcastle 3-1 up at 90' — match is over. Lock in home win.
+25% 2-goal lead at final whistle (90 minutes played) — Newcastle all but certain
+15% Recent substitutions (85') signal Newcastle managing victory; team defending the scoreline
WEST HAM FACTORS
+20% West Ham already conceded 4 goals in H2H (3 & 1); only defensive threat in added time minimal
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Anthony Gordon
HOM · F · 10g/12
56%
2
Harvey Barnes
HOM · M · 6g/12
26%
3
Bruno Guimarães
HOM · M · 9g/26
18%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
Newcastle
3
Draw
3
West Ham
02 Nov 3-1
10 Mar 0-1
25 Nov 0-2
30 Mar 4-3
08 Oct 2-2
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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