TOP PICK
Leeds
PROJECTED: 1-1
38%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
38%
Leeds
28%
Draw
34%
Brighton
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
35%
31%
34%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
43%
19%
38%
DL
25% WEIGHT
38%
28%
34%
FINAL BLEND
38%
28%
34%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.02 vs 0.98
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
·
Evenly matched despite league position gap; Brighton's away form strength and Leeds' home fragility create draw risk.
·
Brighton 7th vs Leeds 14th (9-pt gap), but Leeds WWWDL at home partly offsets disadvantage
·
Brighton away form LLDWW is mixed but improving; Leeds home form WWWDL shows inconsistency late-season
·
H2H volatile (recent 1-0 Leeds win, but 3-0 Brighton loss, 2-2 draw history) — no clear pattern
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
52%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
HOM · F · 13g/33
2
49%
Danny Welbeck
AWY · F · 13g/35
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
Leeds
3
Draw
6
Brighton
01 Nov
3-0
11 Mar
2-2
27 Aug
1-0
15 May
1-1
27 Nov
0-0
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.