TOP PICK
Arsenal
PROJECTED: 0-1
54%
CONF 62
WIN PROBABILITY
18%
West Ham
28%
Draw
54%
Arsenal
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
24%
31%
45%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
19%
19%
63%
DL
25% WEIGHT
18%
28%
54%
FINAL BLEND
18%
28%
54%
PREDICTED SCORE
0 - 1
xG 0.76 vs 1.14
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
0-1
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
1-0
0.0%
5
0-2
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
42%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
38%
BTTS NO
62%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or ARS (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or ARS (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
ARS to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
ARSENAL FACTORS
+30%
Arsenal away favourite; goalless at 69' favours draw slightly, but quality gap + H2H dominance push away win.
CONTEXT
·
0-0 at 69' with 21 min left: draw most likely remaining outcome, but baseline shift needed
·
Arsenal position 1 (+41 GD) vs West Ham position 18 (-19 GD): overwhelming quality gap
·
H2H: Arsenal 2 wins, 1 West Ham win, recent: 2–0 and 6–0 Arsenal; West Ham's only win was 1–0 in Feb 2025
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
38%
Viktor Gyökeres
ARS · F · 14g/34
2
32%
Gabriel Martinelli
ARS · F · 14g/28
3
30%
Gabriel Martinelli
ARS · F · 6g/13
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
West Ham
1
Draw
6
Arsenal
04 Oct
2-0
22 Feb
0-1
30 Nov
2-5
11 Feb
0-6
28 Dec
0-2
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.