TOP PICK
Tottenham
PROJECTED: 2-0
72%
CONF 72
WIN PROBABILITY
72%
Tottenham
18%
Draw
10%
Leeds
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
74%
17%
9%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
84%
7%
8%
DL
25% WEIGHT
72%
18%
10%
FINAL BLEND
72%
18%
10%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 0
xG 2.25 vs 0.65
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
3-0
0.0%
4
2-1
0.0%
5
1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
38%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
28%
BTTS NO
72%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
·
Tottenham 1-0 up with 21 min left; Leeds away form poor (DWDDD) and defensive repositioning hasn't altered pattern — home win strongly favored.
·
1-goal lead at 69′ with only 21 minutes remaining — statistically 72% hold rate
·
Leeds' away form is dreadful (DWDDD last 5 on road) vs Tottenham's home structure
·
H2H strongly favors Tottenham (4 wins in last 5, including 4-0 and 4-3); Leeds substitutes at 56′ & 63′ suggest desperation but no momentum shift yet
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
54%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
AWY · F · 13g/33
2
46%
Richarlison
HOM · F · 10g/30
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
6
Tottenham
0
Draw
2
Leeds
04 Oct
1-2
28 May
1-4
12 Nov
4-3
26 Feb
0-4
21 Nov
2-1
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.