GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Nottingham Forest
Sun, 10 May · 13:00
Premier League
Newcastle
TOP PICK
Draw
PROJECTED: 1-1
45%
CONF 68
WIN PROBABILITY
38%
Nottingham...
45%
Draw
17%
Newcastle
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
39% 31% 30%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
44% 38% 18%
DL 25% WEIGHT
38% 45% 17%
FINAL BLEND
38% 45% 17%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.08 vs 0.92
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 45% 3.51 +57.9%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 83% 1.60 +32.5%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 2.95 +12.2%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.57 -8.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.72 -10.4%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.39 -14.0%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 55% 1.28 -29.4%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 17% 2.33 -60.3%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
NEWCASTLE FACTORS
+20% Forest home form (WWWDD) + Newcastle away form (LLLWL) supports home draw lean
CONTEXT
· 1-1 at 90' favours draw in extra time; Forest momentum (late goal) edges the win slightly but draw most likely.
· Tied at 90' with Forest just equalised (88') — typical draw outcome in this state
· H2H shows high-scoring pattern (last 4: 2-0, 4-3, 1-3, 2-3) — extra time likely, both teams capable
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Anthony Gordon
AWY · F · 10g/12
36%
2
Igor Jesus
HOM · F · 7g/13
33%
3
Harvey Barnes
AWY · M · 6g/12
12%
4
Bruno Guimarães
AWY · M · 9g/26
12%
5
M. Gibbs-White
HOM · 13g/35
7%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Nottingham...
1
Draw
6
Newcastle
05 Oct 2-0
23 Feb 4-3
10 Nov 1-3
10 Feb 2-3
26 Dec 1-3
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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