⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Crystal Palace
PROJECTED: 1-1
46%
CONF 52
WIN PROBABILITY
46%
Crystal Pa...
27%
Draw
27%
Everton
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
39%
31%
31%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
53%
18%
30%
DL
25% WEIGHT
46%
27%
27%
FINAL BLEND
46%
27%
27%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.08 vs 0.92
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
48%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
51%
BTTS NO
49%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
32 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
16 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
32 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
32 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
EVERTON FACTORS
+30%
Everton's superior league position and away form edge offset by Palace's home advantage; draw most likely.
+25%
Everton 10th (48 pts) vs Palace 15th (43 pts) — 5-pt gap but both mid-table
+20%
H2H shows parity: 2W Everton, 2W Palace, 1D in last 5 (most recent 2-2 draw)
+15%
Palace home form (DWDWW) slightly stronger than Everton away (DLDLW) — nearly even
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
65%
Ismaïla Sarr
HOM · 9g/13
2
35%
J. Mateta
HOM · 11g/30
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
Crystal Pa...
3
Draw
7
Everton
05 Oct
2-1
15 Feb
1-2
28 Sep
2-1
19 Feb
1-1
11 Nov
2-3
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.