GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Hellas Verona
Sun, 24 May · 18:45
Serie A
AS Roma
TOP PICK
AS Roma
PROJECTED: 1-2
70%
CONF 71
WIN PROBABILITY
12%
Hellas Ver...
18%
Draw
70%
AS Roma
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
11% 18% 71%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
11% 7% 82%
DL 25% WEIGHT
12% 18% 70%
FINAL BLEND
12% 18% 70%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 2
xG 0.77 vs 2.23
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 0-2
0.0%
2 0-1
0.0%
3 1-2
0.0%
4 0-3
0.0%
5 1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
54%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
42%
BTTS NO
58%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 12% 9.39 +12.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 54% 1.85 -0.3%
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 30% 3.22 -3.5%
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 82% 1.16 -4.8%
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 70% 1.34 -6.4%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 88% 1.06 -6.6%
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 42% 2.19 -8.1%
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 18% 4.95 -10.8%
CONTEXT
· Roma's quality and away form dominate; Verona's home struggles (LDLLL) and -34 GD make upset unlikely.
· Roma 4th place (70 pts) vs Verona 19th (21 pts) — 49-point gap defines match
· Verona home form LDLLL (5 consecutive non-wins at Bentegodi) is catastrophic
· Roma away form WWLLD shows inconsistency but still 2W in last 5 away; Verona recent DLDDL is dire
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Donyell Malen
AWY · F · 14g/18
100%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Hellas Ver...
1
Draw
6
AS Roma
28 Sep 2-0
19 Apr 1-0
03 Nov 3-2
20 Jan 2-1
26 Aug 2-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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