TOP PICK
Udinese
PROJECTED: 2-1
52%
CONF 58
WIN PROBABILITY
52%
Udinese
28%
Draw
20%
Cremonese
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
66%
20%
14%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
60%
19%
21%
DL
25% WEIGHT
52%
28%
20%
FINAL BLEND
52%
28%
20%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.13 vs 0.87
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
2-1
0.0%
4
1-1
0.0%
5
3-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
·
Udinese slight home favourites despite poor home form; Cremonese's relegation struggle and road record (LLWLL) heavily penalizes away win odds.
·
Udinese mid-table (10th, 50 pts, +GD −1) vs Cremonese relegation zone (18th, 31 pts, −23 GD)
·
Cremonese away form (LLWLL) is dire — only 1W in 5 away games; Udinese home record (WLDLW) mediocre but better
·
Recent overall form mixed both sides (Udinese WWDLW, Cremonese WLLDL) — home/away split dominates; bookmaker home odds (2.57, 38.9%) understates quality gap
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
57%
Keinan Davis
HOM · F · 10g/29
2
43%
Federico Bonazzoli
AWY · F · 9g/34
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
2
Udinese
2
Draw
0
Cremonese
20 Oct
1-1
23 Apr
3-0
30 Oct
0-0
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.