TOP PICK
Napoli
PROJECTED: 0-3
97%
CONF 92
WIN PROBABILITY
1%
Pisa
2%
Draw
97%
Napoli
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
3%
8%
90%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
1%
1%
98%
DL
25% WEIGHT
1%
2%
97%
FINAL BLEND
1%
2%
97%
PREDICTED SCORE
0 - 3
xG 0.52 vs 3.38
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
0-3
0.0%
2
0-2
0.0%
3
0-4
0.0%
4
0-5
0.0%
5
0-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
95%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
5%
BTTS NO
95%
💎 VALUE BETS
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
PISA FACTORS
+15%
Pisa bottom-of-table form (LLLLL) — no comeback threat
NAPOLI FACTORS
+30%
Napoli 3-0 up at 90' — match is over. Lock in away win.
+20%
Napoli controlling possession and substituting freely (5 subs made)
CONTEXT
·
3-goal lead at full-time (90') — mathematically insurmountable
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
67%
Rasmus Højlund
AWY · F · 11g/32
2
33%
Scott McTominay
AWY · M · 10g/32
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
Pisa
0
Draw
1
Napoli
22 Sep
3-2
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.