TOP PICK
Cagliari
PROJECTED: 2-1
78%
CONF 81
WIN PROBABILITY
78%
Cagliari
16%
Draw
6%
Torino
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
73%
17%
10%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
92%
5%
3%
DL
25% WEIGHT
78%
16%
6%
FINAL BLEND
78%
16%
6%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.29 vs 0.71
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
3-0
0.0%
4
2-1
0.0%
5
1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
72%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
78%
BTTS NO
22%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
33 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
18 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
33 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
33 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CAGLIARI FACTORS
+30%
Cagliari 1-goal up with 7 minutes left; near-certain win barring dramatic collapse.
TORINO FACTORS
+20%
Torino triple-substituted at HT and 59' suggests tactical desperation; no late momentum
CONTEXT
·
1-goal lead at 83' with only 7 minutes remaining — historically >85% win rate
·
Cagliari home form positive trend (LW pattern last 2 games) vs Torino poor away record (LDWLL)
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
61%
Giovanni Simeone
AWY · 11g/30
2
39%
Nikola Vlašić
AWY · 8g/34
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
Cagliari
3
Draw
3
Torino
27 Dec
1-2
24 Jan
2-0
20 Oct
3-2
26 Jan
1-2
21 Aug
0-0
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.