TOP PICK
Atalanta
PROJECTED: 1-0
48%
CONF 58
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Atalanta
35%
Draw
17%
Bologna
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
44%
31%
25%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
56%
27%
18%
DL
25% WEIGHT
48%
35%
17%
FINAL BLEND
48%
35%
17%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.12 vs 0.78
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
42%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
38%
BTTS NO
62%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
ATALANTA FACTORS
+30%
Goalless at 71' with 19 min left; Atalanta slight edge but draw highly likely given low chance creation.
CONTEXT
·
0-0 at 71' with only 19 minutes remaining — momentum heavily favours stalemate
·
Atalanta 3 substitutions (63', 64') suggest tactical shift to attack, but Bologna discipline holding firm
·
Atalanta home form mediocre (DLWLD) vs Bologna away surprisingly strong (WLLWW) — typical home-away split compressed late
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
25%
Nikola Krstović
HOM · F · 10g/32
2
25%
Gianluca Scamacca
HOM · F · 10g/23
3
18%
Santiago Castro
AWY · F · 7g/31
4
17%
Federico Bernardeschi
AWY · M · 5g/13
5
15%
Riccardo Orsolini
AWY · F · 9g/34
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
Atalanta
2
Draw
4
Bologna
07 Jan
0-2
13 Apr
2-0
04 Feb
0-1
28 Sep
1-1
03 Mar
1-2
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.