TOP PICK
AS Roma
PROJECTED: 2-2
58%
CONF 72
WIN PROBABILITY
14%
Parma
28%
Draw
58%
AS Roma
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
33%
20%
46%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
14%
19%
68%
DL
25% WEIGHT
14%
28%
58%
FINAL BLEND
14%
28%
58%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 2
xG 1.82 vs 2.18
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-2
0.0%
2
1-1
0.0%
3
2-2
0.0%
4
2-1
0.0%
5
1-3
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
85%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
92%
BTTS NO
8%
💎 VALUE BETS
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
PARMA FACTORS
+20%
Roma season dominance (6th, 64 pts vs Parma 13th, 42 pts) and away form WLLDL underperforming fixture strength
+15%
Recent H2H: Roma 5-0 and 2-1 wins show quality gulf; Parma's 2-2 draw here is overperformance
CONTEXT
·
Match at 90' tied 2-2; Roma likely winner in extra time given dominance. Draw most likely final outcome.
·
90' at 2-2 with no injury absences; extra time probability ~95% — Roma historically stronger in extended play
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
84%
Donyell Malen
AWY · F · 13g/16
2
17%
Mateo Pellegrino
HOM · F · 8g/35
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
2
Parma
0
Draw
8
AS Roma
29 Oct
2-1
16 Feb
0-1
22 Dec
5-0
14 Mar
2-0
22 Nov
3-0
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.