TOP PICK
Udinese
PROJECTED: 0-1
54%
CONF 72
WIN PROBABILITY
18%
Cagliari
28%
Draw
54%
Udinese
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
24%
31%
45%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
19%
19%
63%
DL
25% WEIGHT
18%
28%
54%
FINAL BLEND
18%
28%
54%
PREDICTED SCORE
0 - 1
xG 0.76 vs 1.14
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
0-1
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
1-0
0.0%
5
0-2
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
32%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
28%
BTTS NO
72%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
·
Udinese 1-0 up with 20 min left; Cagliari's poor home record and weak attack make comeback unlikely.
·
Udinese leading 1-0 at 70' — only 20 minutes remain for Cagliari to equalize
·
Cagliari home form WWLLD (inconsistent) vs Udinese away form DWWDL (solid)
·
Cagliari 15th (36 GF in 34 matches), Udinese 11th (43 GF) — quality gap evident
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
100%
Keinan Davis
AWY · F · 10g/28
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
2
Cagliari
4
Draw
4
Udinese
05 Oct
1-1
03 May
1-2
25 Oct
2-0
18 Feb
1-1
01 Nov
1-2
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.