GOALSENSE
📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE
▼ AS Roma LAST 30 MIN ▲ Fiorentina
📊 FULL-TIME STATS
14 SHOTS 4
7 ON TARGET 1
101 POSSESSION % 83
4 CORNERS 5
12 FOULS 10
2 YELLOW CARDS 2
599 PASSES 373
⚡ KEY EVENTS
13' Gianluca Mancini 1-0
17' Wesley 2-0
25' 🟨 Marin Pongracic Foul
34' Mario Hermoso 3-0
46' 🔄 Riccardo Braschi
46' 🔄 Fabiano Parisi
46' 🔄 Pietro Comuzzo
48' 🟨 Mario Hermoso Foul
⭐ MAN OF THE MATCH
N. Pisilli
8.6
RATING
📋 PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
AS Roma
8.6 N. Pisilli
8.5 Wesley
8.0 Manu Koné
Fiorentina
C. Ndour 6.9
Albert Guðmundsson 6.7
Jacopo Fazzini 6.6
🏆 LEAGUE CONTEXT
4 AC Milan 36 67
5 AS Roma 36 67
6 Como 36 65
14 Genoa 36 41
15 Fiorentina 36 38
16 Cagliari 36 37
💬 COMMENTARY
90'
CARD · Foul
4th Yellowcard
83'
SUBST
10th Substitution
83'
SUBST
9th Substitution
75'
SUBST
8th Substitution
75'
SUBST
7th Substitution
72'
SUBST
6th Substitution
72'
SUBST
5th Substitution
66'
CARD · Argument
3rd Yellowcard
64'
SUBST
4th Substitution
58'
GOAL · 4-0
4th Goal
48'
CARD · Foul
2nd Yellowcard
46'
SUBST
2nd Substitution
13'
Gianluca Mancini
1-0
17'
Wesley
2-0
25' 🟨
Marin Pongracic
Foul
34'
Mario Hermoso
3-0
46' 🔄
Riccardo Braschi
46' 🔄
Fabiano Parisi
46' 🔄
Pietro Comuzzo
48' 🟨
Mario Hermoso
Foul
58'
Niccolò Pisilli
4-0
64' 🔄
Stephan El Shaarawy
66' 🟨
Fabiano Parisi
Argument
72' 🔄
Paulo Dybala
72' 🔄
Daniele Ghilardi
75' 🔄
Giovanni Fabbian
75' 🔄
Jacopo Fazzini
83' 🔄
Robinio Vaz
83' 🔄
Jan Ziolkowski
90'+2 🟨
Stephan El Shaarawy
Foul
14 SHOTS 4
7 ON TARGET 1
101 POSSESSION % 83
0 XG 0
4 CORNERS 5
12 FOULS 10
2 YELLOW CARDS 2
14 TOTAL SHOTS 4
7 ON TARGET 1
3 OFF TARGET 3
4 BLOCKED 0
0 INSIDE BOX 0
0 OUTSIDE BOX 0
0 XG 0
599 TOTAL PASSES 373
0 ACCURATE 0
543 ACCURACY % 312
101 POSSESSION % 83
4 CORNERS 5
19 OFFSIDES 15
1 GK SAVES 3
12 FOULS 10
2 YELLOW CARDS 2
0 RED CARDS 0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
AS Roma 5 sh
Donyell Ma... 2/2
N. Pisilli 1/1
Wesley 1/1
Gianluca M... 1/1
Fiorentina 2 sh
Manor Solo... 1/1
Riccardo B... 0/1
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 10 Recent meetings
5
AS Roma
2
D Draws
3
Fiorentina
⚡ AI TOP PICK
AS Roma
PROJECTED: 2-1
56%
CONF 58
WIN PROBABILITY
56%
AS Roma
24%
Draw
20%
Fiorentina
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
MODEL AS Rom... D Fioren...
POISSON 67% 19% 14%
ELO 65% 14% 21%
DL 56% 24% 20%
FINAL 56% 24% 20%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
📊 OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
54%
OVER 3.5
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
56%
YES
44%
NO
💡 KEY FACTORS
Roma slight home favourite with 19-point quality gap, but Fiorentina's recent form (DDWWL) and decent away record (DLWWW) keeps this competitive.
Roma 6th (61 pts) vs Fiorentina 16th (37 pts) — 24-point gap and superior goal differential (48-29 vs 38-45)
Roma home form DWWLD mixed but better than Fiorentina away DLWWW; Fiorentina's recent +2 streak suggests upward momentum
Bookmaker odds (59.5% Home) slightly above AI (56%), justified by quality gap but not by full margin — value neutral
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
OVER
1.25
UNDER
3.74
10 bk
2.5
OVER
1.83
UNDER
1.99
11 bk
3.5
OVER
3.01
UNDER
1.37
10 bk
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
1.88
10 bk
NO
1.84
10 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.21 6bk
Away -0.5 2.51 7bk
Away -0.75 2.25 7bk
Away -1 1.93 8bk
Away -1.25 1.69 7bk
Away -1.5 1.53 9bk
🏟 STADIUM
Stadio Olimpico
Rome
REFEREE
L. Zufferli
📺 WHERE TO WATCH
VN
ON Plus ON Plus On Sports+ On Sports+ VTVcab ON VTVcab ON
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
L. Zufferli
AS... MGR
Piero Gasperin...
head coach
FIO... MGR
Paolo Vanoli
head coach
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
AS Roma · 17 OUT
Leon Bailey · Muscle Injur...
T. Baldanzi · Illness
Edoardo Bove · Heart Proble...
Paulo Dybala · Knee Injury
+ 13 more
Fiorentina · 0 OUT

No injuries reported

KICK-OFFMon, 04 May · 18:45
RoundRegular Season - 35
Season2025
🏟
Stadio Olimpico
Rome