GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Bologna
Sun, 03 May · 10:30
Serie A
Cagliari
TOP PICK
Bologna
PROJECTED: 0-0
48%
CONF 72
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Bologna
35%
Draw
17%
Cagliari
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
41% 33% 27%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
56% 27% 18%
DL 25% WEIGHT
48% 35% 17%
FINAL BLEND
48% 35% 17%
PREDICTED SCORE
0 - 0
xG 1.02 vs 0.78
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
18%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
28%
BTTS NO
72%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 35% 3.33 +16.5%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 83% 1.21 +0.2%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.89 -1.5%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 1.90 -8.8%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 65% 1.31 -15.1%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 17% 4.39 -25.3%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 1.93 -45.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 18% 2.16 -61.1%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
· 0-0 at 90' with minimal chances all match; extra time or penalty shootout likely if this is a knockout, otherwise goalless draw.
· Match at 90' remaining scoreline (0-0) dominates — very low probability of late breakthrough
· Bologna home form weak (LWLLD) and Cagliari road form abysmal (LLLDL); both teams struggling offensively
· H2H shows Bologna strong (3 wins in last 4 home meetings vs Cagliari) but actual play today shows defensive stalemate — final whistle likely 0-0
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Jonathan Rowe
HOM · F · 4g/12
30%
2
Federico Bernardeschi
HOM · M · 5g/13
27%
3
Riccardo Orsolini
HOM · F · 8g/32
23%
4
Santiago Castro
HOM · F · 7g/31
20%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
7
Bologna
0
Draw
3
Cagliari
19 Oct 0-2
02 Mar 2-1
29 Oct 0-2
14 Jan 2-1
02 Sep 2-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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