GOALSENSE
📊 FULL-TIME STATS
13 SHOTS 15
4 ON TARGET 10
40 POSSESSION % 60
8 CORNERS 2
14 FOULS 13
2 YELLOW CARDS 2
0.96 XG 1.93
355 PASSES 559
⚡ KEY EVENTS
19' 🟨 Franco Romero Yellow Card
42' Alexis Vega Penalty Goal
46' 🔄 Kevin Castañeda Substitution
50' 🟥 Ángel Sepúlveda Red Card
54' 🟨 Roberto Alvarado Yellow Card
56' 🔄 Richard Ledezma Substitution
59' 🔄 Érick Gutiérrez Substitution
61' 🟨 Jesús Gallardo Yellow Card
⭐ MAN OF THE MATCH
Raúl Rangel
8.5
RATING
📋 PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
Guadalajara Chivas
8.5 Raúl Rangel
7.2 Roberto Alvarado
6.9 Jordan Carrillo
Toluca
Federico Pereira 8.5
Helinho 7.9
Jesús Gallardo 7.3
🏆 LEAGUE CONTEXT
1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 17 36
2 Guadalajara Chivas 17 36
3 Cruz Azul 17 33
4 Pachuca 17 31
5 Toluca 17 30
6 Atlas 17 26
💬 COMMENTARY
90'
CARD · Yellow Card
Foul
61'
CARD · Yellow Card
Foul
54'
CARD · Yellow Card
Foul
50'
CARD · Red Card
Unsportsmanlike conduct
19'
CARD · Yellow Card
Foul
19' 🟨
Franco Romero
Yellow Card
42'
Alexis Vega
Penalty
46' 🔄
Kevin Castañeda
Substitution 1
50' 🟥
Ángel Sepúlveda
Red Card
54' 🟨
Roberto Alvarado
Yellow Card
56' 🔄
Richard Ledezma
Substitution 2
59' 🔄
Érick Gutiérrez
Substitution 1
61' 🟨
Jesús Gallardo
Yellow Card
68' 🔄
Omar Govea
Substitution 3
70' 🔄
Alexis Vega
Substitution 2
74'
Jesús Gallardo
Normal Goal
86' 🔄
Diego Campillo
Substitution 4
86' 🔄
Daniel Aguirre
Substitution 5
87' 🔄
Nicolás Castro
Substitution 3
87' 🔄
Jesús Ricardo Angulo
Substitution 4
90'+6 🟨
Jordan Carrillo
Yellow Card
13 SHOTS 15
4 ON TARGET 10
40 POSSESSION % 60
0.96 XG 1.93
8 CORNERS 2
14 FOULS 13
2 YELLOW CARDS 2
13 TOTAL SHOTS 15
4 ON TARGET 10
6 OFF TARGET 4
3 BLOCKED 1
11 INSIDE BOX 10
2 OUTSIDE BOX 5
0.96 XG 1.93
355 TOTAL PASSES 559
286 ACCURATE 496
81 ACCURACY % 89
40 POSSESSION % 60
8 CORNERS 2
1 OFFSIDES 2
8 GK SAVES 3
14 FOULS 13
2 YELLOW CARDS 2
1 RED CARDS 0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
Guadalajar... 4 sh
Roberto Al... 1/2
Richard Le... 1/1
Kevin Cast... 0/1
Toluca 4 sh
Helinho 2/2
Federico P... 0/1
Jesús Gall... 1/1
📈 xG RACE 0.961.93
1.9 0 0' 90'
Guadalajara... Toluca
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 10 Recent meetings
2
Guadalajara...
4
D Draws
4
Toluca
⚡ AI TOP PICK
Guadalajara Chivas
PROJECTED: 1-0
42%
CONF 35
WIN PROBABILITY
42%
Guadalajar...
32%
Draw
26%
Toluca
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
MODEL Guadal... D Toluca
POISSON 40% 32% 28%
ELO 48% 23% 29%
DL 42% 32% 26%
FINAL 42% 32% 26%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
📊 OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
48%
OVER 3.5
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
38%
YES
62%
NO
💡 KEY FACTORS
Match at 2 minutes with no data yet; home slight edge but very uncertain. Monitor early chances and momentum.
Only 2 minutes elapsed — scoreline and early events minimal; prediction highly provisional
Guadalajara home form (LWDWD) slightly favors home but Toluca away form (LLLDW) poor; marginal edge
Both teams recent form mixed (Chivas LDWLD, Toluca LLWLL) — no clear momentum advantage
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
OVER
1.20
UNDER
4.28
10 bk
2.5
OVER
1.69
UNDER
2.14
11 bk
3.5
OVER
2.65
UNDER
1.44
10 bk
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
1.57
10 bk
NO
2.25
10 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.07 7bk
Away -0.5 1.76 8bk
Away -0.75 1.62 6bk
Away -1 1.42 6bk
Away -1.25 1.34 6bk
Away -1.5 1.26 7bk
🏟 STADIUM
Estadio AKRON
Zapopan · 46,609 seats
REFEREE
Daniel Quintero Huitrón, Mexico
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Daniel Quinter...
GUA... MGR
Gabriel Milito
head coach
TOL... MGR
Ricardo Mohame...
head coach
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
Guadalajar... · 0 OUT

No injuries reported

Toluca · 0 OUT

No injuries reported

KICK-OFFSun, 19 Jul · 01:07
RoundApertura - 1
Season2026
SURFACEArtificial turf
CAPACITY46,609
🏟
Estadio AKRON
Zapopan · 46,609