GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Girona
Thu, 14 May · 18:00
La Liga
Real Sociedad
TOP PICK
Girona
PROJECTED: 1-1
38%
CONF 44
WIN PROBABILITY
38%
Girona
28%
Draw
34%
Real Socie...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
35% 31% 34%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
43% 19% 38%
DL 25% WEIGHT
38% 28% 34%
FINAL BLEND
38% 28% 34%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.02 vs 0.98
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
45%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
52%
BTTS NO
48%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 34% 3.38 +14.8%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.76 +9.1%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 3.68 +3.1%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.26 -9.3%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 66% 1.31 -13.3%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.59 -17.6%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 2.05 -22.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 45% 1.70 -23.5%
GIRONA FACTORS
+25% Girona 17th place, 3-loss recent form + weak home record (LLWWL) vs away form pattern
REAL SOCIEDAD FACTORS
+20% Real Sociedad 6pts ahead but terrible away record (LDDLL) — historically loses/draws on road
CONTEXT
· Girona struggling at home (LLWWL) vs Real Sociedad's poor away form (LDDLL); draw most likely.
· Both teams' recent 5-match form dominated by draws/losses — low-confidence tussle
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Mikel Oyarzabal
AWY · 15g/31
100%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
← Back to match