GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
GIL Vicente
Sun, 09 Aug · 19:30
Primeira Liga
Rio Ave
TOP PICK
GIL Vicente
PROJECTED: 1-1
38%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
38%
GIL Vicent...
38%
Draw
24%
Rio Ave
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
38% 31% 32%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
44% 30% 26%
DL 25% WEIGHT
38% 38% 24%
FINAL BLEND
38% 38% 24%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.06 vs 0.94
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 3.35 +27.4%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.81 +12.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 2.09 +8.4%
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.85 +7.3%
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 76% 1.24 -5.7%
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 24% 3.85 -7.5%
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.29 -19.8%
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 1.97 -25.0%
CONTEXT
· Early deadlock in tight fixture; Rio Ave's road form (DLWWW) edges Gil Vicente's home struggles (LWLWD), but H2H draws dominant.
· Rio Ave away form (DLWWW) notably stronger than Gil Vicente home form (LWLWD)
· H2H last 5: three draws, two draws + two draws in prior meetings suggest even match
· Both teams' recent form mixed (Gil Vicente LLDWL, Rio Ave DLDLD) — no momentum advantage
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Pablo Felipe
HOM · 10g/13
38%
2
Clayton
AWY · 10g/19
26%
3
André Luiz
AWY · 7g/19
18%
4
Murilo Souza
HOM · 11g/32
17%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
GIL Vicent...
5
Draw
2
Rio Ave
03 May 0-0
20 Dec 2-2
16 May 1-1
06 Jan 1-1
06 Apr 3-0
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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