GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Getafe
Sun, 03 May · 14:15
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
TOP PICK
Getafe
PROJECTED: 1-0
48%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Getafe
28%
Draw
24%
Rayo Valle...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
42% 31% 27%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
55% 19% 26%
DL 25% WEIGHT
48% 28% 24%
FINAL BLEND
48% 28% 24%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.10 vs 0.80
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
42%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
38%
BTTS NO
62%
GETAFE FACTORS
+30% Evenly matched on quality; Getafe slight home edge but Rayo's away form is concerning both ways.
+25% Getafe +5 pts in table and +6 GD despite conceding 34; home form LWWLW shows inconsistency
RAYO VALLECANO FACTORS
+20% Rayo Vallecano road record LLLWD (3 losses in last 5 away) severely dampens upset potential
CONTEXT
· Recent H2H (Jan draw 1-1) plus missing detailed xG data prevent confident call
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Álvaro García
AWY · 6g/11
63%
2
Jorge de Frutos
AWY · 10g/31
37%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
02 Jan 1-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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