GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Fiorentina
Fri, 14 Aug · 19:15
Coppa Italia
Benevento
TOP PICK
Fiorentina
PROJECTED: 1-1
45%
CONF 38
WIN PROBABILITY
45%
Fiorentina
28%
Draw
27%
Benevento
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
38% 31% 31%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
52% 19% 30%
DL 25% WEIGHT
45% 28% 27%
FINAL BLEND
45% 28% 27%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.07 vs 0.93
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
48%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
54%
BTTS NO
46%
FIORENTINA FACTORS
+25% Benevento home form mixed (WDDD) — no clear advantage
BENEVENTO FACTORS
+20% Fiorentina away form split (WLDLW) — unpredictable on road
CONTEXT
· Coppa Italia early round with sparse data; slight home edge but heavy uncertainty — treat as weak signal.
· No season stats, H2H, lineups, or odds available — confidence artificially low
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
A. Guðmundsson
HOM · 5g/11
42%
2
Cher Ndour
HOM · 4g/12
30%
3
Moise Kean
HOM · 8g/26
28%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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