GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Fenerbahçe
Tue, 18 Aug · 19:00
Champions League
Lyon
TOP PICK
Fenerbahçe
PROJECTED: 1-0
42%
CONF 38
WIN PROBABILITY
42%
Fenerbahçe
38%
Draw
20%
Lyon
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
42% 31% 27%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
49% 30% 22%
DL 25% WEIGHT
42% 38% 20%
FINAL BLEND
42% 38% 20%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.09 vs 0.81
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
35%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
28%
BTTS NO
72%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 3.49 +32.8%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.78 +2.9%
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 80% 1.28 +2.7%
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 42% 2.03 -14.9%
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.28 -20.7%
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 20% 3.50 -30.0%
Over 2.5 Goals
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 35% 1.81 -36.6%
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 1.64 -54.0%
CONTEXT
· Match just started; Fenerbahçe slight home edge but Lyon's recent form collapse + away struggles suggest defensive, low-scoring contest.
· Only 1 minute played — scoreline neutral, form & splits dominate
· Fenerbahçe home form WWLLD + Lyon away form LLWDD both inconsistent; no xG data to break tie
· Lyon's overall form WLLLW (3 losses in 5) suggests fragility; Fenerbahçe WWDWW more stable
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Kerem Aktürkoğlu
HOM · M · 6g/9
38%
2
Talisca
HOM · M · 4g/8
29%
3
Corentin Tolisso
AWY · M · 11g/30
21%
4
Pavel Šulc
AWY · 11g/27
13%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
Fenerbahçe
1
Draw
0
Lyon
23 Jan 0-0
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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