GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
FC St. Pauli
Sun, 03 May · 13:30
Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05
TOP PICK
FSV Mainz 05
PROJECTED: 1-1
37%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
35%
FC St. Pau...
28%
Draw
37%
FSV Mainz...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
34% 31% 35%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
39% 19% 42%
DL 25% WEIGHT
35% 28% 37%
FINAL BLEND
35% 28% 37%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 0.99 vs 1.01
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 0-1
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 1-0
0.0%
5 0-2
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
42%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
54%
BTTS NO
46%
CONTEXT
· St. Pauli struggling at home (DLLDW) vs mid-table Mainz with better away form — tight match, draw most likely.
· St. Pauli 16th (26 pts) in relegation zone; Mainz 10th (34 pts) — 8-point gap but no dominant form
· St. Pauli home form weak (DLLDW) vs Mainz away form solid (DLWWD) — negates home advantage
· Both teams overall form poor (LDLDL / LDLLW) — consistency absent, tactical execution key
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
N. Amiri
AWY · 11g/23
100%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
← Back to match