GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
FC ST. Gallen
Thu, 13 Aug · 18:00
Europa Conference League
Sheriff Tiraspol
TOP PICK
FC ST. Gallen
PROJECTED: 2-0
78%
CONF 72
WIN PROBABILITY
78%
FC ST. Gal...
15%
Draw
7%
Sheriff Ti...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
75% 16% 8%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
92% 4% 4%
DL 25% WEIGHT
78% 15% 7%
FINAL BLEND
78% 15% 7%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 0
xG 2.28 vs 0.62
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 2-0
0.0%
2 1-0
0.0%
3 3-0
0.0%
4 2-1
0.0%
5 1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
62%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
28%
BTTS NO
72%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 78% 1.26 -1.4%
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 93% 1.05 -2.5%
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 85% 1.11 -5.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.46 -9.6%
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 15% 5.48 -17.8%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 22% 3.51 -22.8%
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 7% 9.09 -36.4%
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 1.84 -48.5%
CONTEXT
· St. Gallen lead 1-0 early; Sheriff on poor form (3 losses in last 5) and 0-1 in recent H2H. Home control likely.
· St. Gallen 1-0 up at minute 2 with early momentum and control
· Sheriff on 3-match losing streak (LLL); weak away form (LW in recent split)
· H2H pattern favours St. Gallen: beat Sheriff 3-1 on 2026-08-06, now 1-0 on 2026-08-13
⚽ NEXT GOALSCORER
1
Jayder Asprilla
AWY · F · 0g/1
24%
2
Diego Besio
HOM · F · 0g/1
24%
3
Andrin Hunziker
HOM · F · 0g/1
24%
4
Dhoraso Moreo Klas
AWY · M · 0g/1
13%
5
Arli Pergjoni
AWY · M · 0g/1
13%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
FC ST. Gal...
1
Draw
0
Sheriff Ti...
06 Aug 1-3
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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