GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
FC Juarez
Sat, 01 Aug · 03:00
Liga MX
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
TOP PICK
FC Juarez
PROJECTED: 1-1
38%
CONF 42
WIN PROBABILITY
38%
FC Juarez
32%
Draw
30%
U.N.A.M. -...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
36% 31% 33%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
43% 23% 34%
DL 25% WEIGHT
38% 32% 30%
FINAL BLEND
38% 32% 30%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.03 vs 0.97
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
48%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
54%
BTTS NO
46%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 32% 3.38 +8.1%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 70% 1.44 +1.1%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 2.53 -4.0%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.48 -8.5%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 68% 1.29 -12.5%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 54% 1.58 -14.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 1.75 -16.0%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 30% 2.61 -21.6%
FC JUAREZ FACTORS
+20% FC Juarez home form LWLDW vs Pumas away form WDLDW — both mediocre
CONTEXT
· Evenly matched at 0-0 in minute 1; H2H history mixed with recent Pumas away weakness; draw most likely.
· H2H split: 2-2-1 in last 5 (heavily drawn) with no clear home/away pattern
· Juarez recent slump (LLWLL) offsets home advantage; Pumas inconsistent (WLLDW)
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Óscar Estupiñán
HOM · F · 15g/31
43%
2
Robert Morales
AWY · F · 9g/23
35%
3
Guillermo Martínez
AWY · F · 9g/26
22%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
FC Juarez
2
Draw
5
U.N.A.M. -...
22 Apr 4-2
24 Sep 3-1
28 Apr 1-1
12 Apr 0-0
18 Jul 1-2
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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