TOP PICK
FC Juarez
PROJECTED: 1-0
52%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
52%
FC Juarez
32%
Draw
16%
Puebla
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
45%
31%
24%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
61%
23%
16%
DL
25% WEIGHT
52%
32%
16%
FINAL BLEND
52%
32%
16%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.14 vs 0.76
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
38%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
28%
BTTS NO
72%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
PUEBLA FACTORS
+30%
Early in match at 0-0; Juarez home form advantage and Puebla's poor away record lean slightly home, but low data and scoreline make draw live.
+20%
Juarez home form (WWWDL) vs Puebla away form (LLLLL) — stark contrast favours Juarez
+15%
No season stats available; recent overall form shows Juarez WLLWW vs Puebla LLLLL (confidence capped)
CONTEXT
·
Only 2 minutes played — scoreline and remaining 88 min dominate; early draw baseline 30-35%
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
78%
Óscar Estupiñán
HOM · F · 15g/31
2
22%
Emiliano Gómez
AWY · M · 8g/33
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
FC Juarez
4
Draw
3
Puebla
04 Apr
1-1
25 Oct
4-4
29 Mar
2-0
28 Sep
2-3
24 Mar
4-3
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.