GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
FC Cincinnati
Wed, 13 May · 23:30
Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
TOP PICK
FC Cincinnati
PROJECTED: 1-1
38%
CONF 52
WIN PROBABILITY
38%
FC Cincinn...
24%
Draw
38%
Inter Miam...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
35% 31% 35%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
43% 14% 43%
DL 25% WEIGHT
38% 24% 38%
FINAL BLEND
38% 24% 38%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.00 vs 1.00
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 0-0
0.0%
2 0-1
0.0%
3 1-0
0.0%
4 1-1
0.0%
5 0-2
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
65%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
71%
BTTS NO
29%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 2.93 +11.5%
HOME or Draw (1X)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.70 +5.7%
Draw
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 24% 3.97 -4.7%
HOME or AWAY (12)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 76% 1.22 -7.0%
Both Teams Score — YES
16 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 71% 1.30 -7.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 65% 1.33 -13.6%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.37 -14.9%
AWAY to Win
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 2.07 -21.3%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
· Even matchup with slight away edge in quality; bookmaker overrates home win — lean draw or away.
· Miami table position (3rd, 22pts) and goal differential (+5) superior to Cincinnati (6th, 16pts, -3)
· Cincinnati home form shaky (WDLLW: 2W/1D/2L) vs Miami road form strong (WWWWD: 4W/1D)
· Both teams in-form; SportMonks model favours away (41.3% vs 35.7%), aligns with quality gap
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Lionel Messi
AWY · 9g/11
41%
2
Kévin Denkey
HOM · 7g/11
32%
3
Evander
HOM · 6g/11
27%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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