GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Famalicao
Sun, 16 Aug · 19:30
Primeira Liga
Maritimo
TOP PICK
Famalicao
PROJECTED: 1-0
42%
CONF 38
WIN PROBABILITY
42%
Famalicao
32%
Draw
26%
Maritimo
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
40% 32% 28%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
48% 23% 29%
DL 25% WEIGHT
42% 32% 26%
FINAL BLEND
42% 32% 26%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.06 vs 0.84
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
48%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
38%
BTTS NO
62%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 26% 4.85 +26.0%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 2.04 +18.2%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 32% 3.50 +12.1%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 2.12 +1.8%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 74% 1.17 -13.4%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 68% 1.27 -13.8%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 1.97 -25.1%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 42% 1.75 -26.4%
MARITIMO FACTORS
+15% Season stats unavailable; recent form thin (Maritimo only 1-2 games shown) — confidence capped
CONTEXT
· Match just kicked off at 0-0 with very limited data; home edge slight but real. Draw is live given sparse recent form.
· Famalicao home form WDDWW (slight advantage vs Maritimo away form L)
· Only 1 minute played — score state and early momentum will reshape this within 10 min
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Simo Bouzaidi
AWY · F · 0g/1
22%
2
Adrián Butzke
AWY · F · 0g/1
22%
3
Martín Tejón
AWY · F · 0g/1
22%
4
Georgios Koutsias
HOM · F · 0g/1
22%
5
Vladan Danilović
AWY · M · 0g/1
12%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
Famalicao
4
Draw
0
Maritimo
22 Apr 3-2
06 Nov 0-0
20 Feb 0-1
18 Sep 0-0
21 Mar 0-4
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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