⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Sporting CP
PROJECTED: 0-1
76%
CONF 72
WIN PROBABILITY
8%
Estrela
16%
Draw
76%
Sporting C...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
18%
30%
52%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
6%
5%
89%
DL
25% WEIGHT
8%
16%
76%
FINAL BLEND
8%
16%
76%
PREDICTED SCORE
0 - 1
xG 0.63 vs 1.27
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
0-1
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
0-2
0.0%
4
1-1
0.0%
5
1-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
62%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
42%
BTTS NO
58%
💎 VALUE BETS
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
ESTRELA FACTORS
+30%
Sporting heavy favourites; H2H shows dominant away record (4 of last 5 wins) + Estrela's weak home form.
+20%
Sporting road form strong (WDDWW) vs Estrela home form weak (DLLWD)
+15%
Estrela recent form DDLLL; Sporting WWWDD — quality gap clear at 4' scoreline
CONTEXT
·
H2H heavily favours Sporting (5-1, 3-0, 1-0, 0-4 in last 4 away visits)
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
68%
Luis Javier Suárez
AWY · F · 28g/32
2
16%
Pedro Gonçalves
AWY · 13g/27
3
9%
Jovane Cabral
HOM · 7g/26
4
7%
Francisco Trincão
AWY · 7g/34
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
Estrela
0
Draw
7
Sporting C...
11 Apr
0-1
30 Nov
4-0
29 Mar
0-3
01 Nov
5-1
29 Mar
1-2
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.