GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Espanyol
Wed, 13 May · 17:00
La Liga
Athletic Club
TOP PICK
Espanyol
PROJECTED: 1-1
36%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
36%
Espanyol
28%
Draw
36%
Athletic C...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
35% 31% 35%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
41% 19% 41%
DL 25% WEIGHT
36% 28% 36%
FINAL BLEND
36% 28% 36%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.00 vs 1.00
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 0-0
0.0%
2 0-1
0.0%
3 1-0
0.0%
4 1-1
0.0%
5 0-2
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
54%
BTTS NO
46%
💎 VALUE BETS
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 2.14 +11.3%
Both Teams Score — YES
18 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 54% 1.83 -1.1%
AWAY to Win
33 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 36% 2.72 -1.9%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.33 -4.5%
HOME to Win
33 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 36% 2.65 -4.6%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 64% 1.46 -6.6%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 64% 1.46 -6.6%
Draw
33 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 3.19 -10.6%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
ESPANYOL FACTORS
+20% League position favors Athletic (9th, 44 pts) but Espanyol at home mitigates gap (17th, 39 pts)
+15% Both teams recent form slumping — Espanyol LLDLL, Athletic LWLWL — reduces explosive scorelines
CONTEXT
· Evenly matched mid-table clash; bookmaker odds fairly balanced, slight lean to draw at value.
· Espanyol home form LDLDD (poor) vs Athletic Club away form WLLLD (mixed) — slight edge to visitor
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Gorka Guruzeta
AWY · 9g/31
100%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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