GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Derry City
Thu, 16 Jul · 17:30
Europa League
CSKA Sofia
TOP PICK
Derry City
PROJECTED: 1-1
38%
CONF 35
WIN PROBABILITY
38%
Derry City
35%
Draw
27%
CSKA Sofia
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
37% 31% 32%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
43% 27% 30%
DL 25% WEIGHT
38% 35% 27%
FINAL BLEND
38% 35% 27%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.04 vs 0.96
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 3.72 +41.5%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 73% 1.91 +39.6%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 35% 3.80 +33.0%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.59 -8.1%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.65 -14.4%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 65% 1.21 -21.1%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.23 -23.6%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 27% 1.80 -51.3%
CONTEXT
· Match 2 minutes old, 0-0; very limited data. Last H2H was 3-2 away win; expect open play but prediction is weak.
· Only 2 minutes elapsed — early scoreline carries minimal predictive weight
· H2H shows attacking pattern (3-2 CSKA win 7 days ago) — suggests BTTS likely
· No season stats, form is single-match only; prediction is near-baseline
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Ioannis Pittas
AWY · F · 0g/1
27%
2
Leandro Godoy
AWY · F · 0g/1
27%
3
Brandon Fleming
HOM · M · 0g/1
15%
4
Adam O'Reilly
HOM · M · 0g/1
15%
5
James Olayinka
HOM · M · 0g/1
15%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
Derry City
1
Draw
0
CSKA Sofia
09 Jul 3-2
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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