⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Derby
PROJECTED: 2-1
58%
CONF 62
WIN PROBABILITY
58%
Derby
26%
Draw
16%
Sheffield...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
68%
19%
13%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
68%
16%
16%
DL
25% WEIGHT
58%
26%
16%
FINAL BLEND
58%
26%
16%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.17 vs 0.83
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
2-1
0.0%
4
1-1
0.0%
5
3-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
54%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
DERBY FACTORS
+30%
Derby's home dominance (WWWWW) and table position edge outweigh Sheffield's recent form; lean home but not a lock.
+25%
Derby perfect at home (WWWWW last 5) vs Sheffield poor away (WLDLW)
+20%
Derby +12 pts and +9 GD on season — clear quality edge at Pride Park
+15%
Sheffield's recent form (LLWWL) shows volatility; Derby stable midtable
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
40%
Patrick Bamford
AWY · 12g/27
2
36%
Carlton Morris
HOM · 12g/30
3
24%
Patrick Agyemang
HOM · 10g/37
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.