⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
De Graafschap
PROJECTED: 1-1
38%
CONF 35
WIN PROBABILITY
38%
De Graafsc...
28%
Draw
34%
Almere Cit...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
35%
31%
34%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
43%
19%
38%
DL
25% WEIGHT
38%
28%
34%
FINAL BLEND
38%
28%
34%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.02 vs 0.98
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
42%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
54%
BTTS NO
46%
DE GRAAFSCHAP FACTORS
+20%
De Graafschap's recent form is L; Almere on W-W-W streak
+15%
Critical data gaps: no seasonal xG, GF/GA, or De Graafschap home form — confidence capped at 35%
CONTEXT
·
Very limited data (no season stats, no home form) — treat as weak heuristic. Recent H2H heavily favors Almere; use only for baseline.
·
Almere won 3-1 in reverse fixture 3 days ago; momentum strongly away
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
De Graafsc...
3
Draw
3
Almere Cit...
06 May
3-1
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.