GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
DC United
Wed, 13 May · 23:30
Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire
TOP PICK
DC United
PROJECTED: 1-1
38%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
38%
DC United
28%
Draw
34%
Chicago Fi...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
35% 31% 34%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
43% 19% 38%
DL 25% WEIGHT
38% 28% 34%
FINAL BLEND
38% 28% 34%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.02 vs 0.98
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 2.70 +2.5%
HOME or Draw (1X)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 66% 1.55 +2.2%
Draw
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 3.44 -3.7%
Both Teams Score — YES
16 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.61 -6.7%
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.78 -7.3%
HOME or AWAY (12)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.29 -7.4%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.40 -13.4%
AWAY to Win
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 34% 2.41 -17.9%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
· Evenly matched teams; slight home edge offset by Chicago's superior away form and league position.
· Chicago ranked 4th vs DC 5th — marginal quality advantage to away side
· DC home form weak (WWLDL, 40% win rate) vs Chicago away form (DLLWD, 20% win rate but more defensive)
· Both teams nearly identical GF/GA ratio; draw and BTTS both live outcomes
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Hugo Cuypers
AWY · 11g/8
67%
2
Tai Baribo
HOM · 6g/9
33%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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