⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Draw
PROJECTED: 1-1
42%
CONF 44
WIN PROBABILITY
38%
CSKA Sofia
42%
Draw
20%
Qarabag
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
38%
31%
31%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
44%
34%
22%
DL
25% WEIGHT
38%
42%
20%
FINAL BLEND
38%
42%
20%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.07 vs 0.93
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
48%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
54%
BTTS NO
46%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
QARABAG FACTORS
+20%
Qarabag away form mixed (WWLLW) but shows defensive discipline
CONTEXT
·
Early in first half with 0–0; H2H shows two recent draws; expect tight, low-key affair.
·
Last two H2H both 0–0 (July 23 & 30) — strong draw bias
·
CSKA only 1 home win in last 3 — no clear home edge emerging
⚽ NEXT GOALSCORER
1
100%
C. Durán
AWY · 5g/10
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
CSKA Sofia
1
Draw
2
Qarabag
23 Jul
0-0
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.