⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Crystal Palace
PROJECTED: 1-1
48%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Crystal Pa...
26%
Draw
26%
Rayo Valle...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
39%
31%
30%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
55%
16%
28%
DL
25% WEIGHT
48%
26%
26%
FINAL BLEND
48%
26%
26%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.09 vs 0.91
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
51%
BTTS NO
49%
💎 VALUE BETS
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
33 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
18 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
33 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
33 bookmakers · pre-match avg
CONTEXT
·
Evenly matched Europa Conference League semi-final; Rayo's superior league position and away form edge slightly offsetting Palace's home advantage.
·
Rayo ranked 5th (13 pts) vs Palace 10th (10 pts); away form WDWWL shows Rayo competence on the road
·
Palace home form LDWDW inconsistent; recent form LDLDW suggests slump despite cup competition
·
Both teams modest xG profiles (Palace GF 11/GA 6, Rayo GF 13/GA 7); low-to-mid scoring expected
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
30%
I. Sarr
HOM · 9g/14
2
21%
Álvaro García
AWY · 6g/13
3
19%
Alemão
AWY · 4g/10
4
17%
J. Mateta
HOM · 12g/32
5
13%
Jorge de Frutos
AWY · 10g/36
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.