⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Corinthians
PROJECTED: 2-1
58%
CONF 51
WIN PROBABILITY
58%
Corinthian...
24%
Draw
18%
Penarol
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
68%
19%
13%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
68%
14%
18%
DL
25% WEIGHT
58%
24%
18%
FINAL BLEND
58%
24%
18%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.16 vs 0.84
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
2-1
0.0%
4
1-1
0.0%
5
3-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
44%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
42%
BTTS NO
58%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
PENAROL FACTORS
+20%
Penarol away form unknown — single L in recent form insufficient to judge road credentials
CONTEXT
·
Corinthians strong start but limited data on Penarol away form; expect competitive Copa Libertadores tie.
·
Corinthians lead league (1st, 6 pts, 4-0 GD) vs Penarol 3rd with -1 GD
·
Early group stage: expect pragmatic defending and counter-threat (explains modest BTTS 42%)
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
100%
M. Arezo
AWY · 2g/2
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.