GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Chonburi FC
Sun, 26 Apr · 11:30
Thai Premier League
Muangthong United
TOP PICK
Chonburi FC
PROJECTED: 1-1
38%
CONF 25
WIN PROBABILITY
38%
Chonburi F...
32%
Draw
30%
Muangthong...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
36% 31% 33%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
43% 23% 34%
DL 25% WEIGHT
38% 32% 30%
FINAL BLEND
38% 32% 30%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.03 vs 0.97
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
48%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
52%
BTTS NO
48%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
32 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 32% 3.40 +8.7%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 70% 1.50 +4.8%
HOME to Win
32 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 2.39 -9.3%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.41 -12.7%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 68% 1.25 -15.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 1.67 -19.7%
Both Teams Score — YES
16 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.54 -19.8%
AWAY to Win
32 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 30% 2.57 -22.8%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
· Match just started; insufficient data (no season stats, form, or H2H context). Treat as weak heuristic only.
· 1' into match — live state too early to yield useful signal
· No season stats, form history, or meaningful H2H — Thai League 1 data sparse
· Slight home-team baseline only; all probabilities near 33%
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Y. Burapha
HOM · 4g/10
57%
2
Oege Sietse van Lingen
HOM · 8g/26
44%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
Chonburi F...
2
Draw
4
Muangthong...
06 Dec 2-3
18 May 6-0
23 Dec 2-1
19 Feb 0-1
17 Sep 1-5
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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