⚡ AI
0-1 · Derby 47%
62
📊 FULL-TIME STATS
13
SHOTS
15
4
ON TARGET
4
45
POSSESSION %
55
5
CORNERS
4
7
FOULS
15
0
YELLOW CARDS
3
1.07
XG
1.01
368
PASSES
461
⚡ KEY EVENTS
23'
⚽
Sammie Szmodics
Normal Goal
54'
🔄
Sammie Szmodics
Substitution
59'
🔄
Sonny Carey
Substitution
59'
🔄
Matt Godden
Substitution
60'
🟨
Sondre Langås
Yellow Card
61'
⚽
Lloyd Jones
Normal Goal
73'
🔄
Karlan Grant
Substitution
80'
⚽
T. Campbell
Normal Goal
⭐ MAN OF THE MATCH
Tyreece Campbell
7.7
RATING
📋 PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
Charlton
7.7
Tyreece Campbell
7.6
Lloyd Jones
7.3
Nathaniel Chalobah
Derby
Sammie Szmodics
7.6
Lewis Travis
7.3
Alex Mowatt
6.9
🏆 LEAGUE CONTEXT
7
Wrexham
46
71
Wrexham
46
71
8
Derby
46
69
Derby
46
69
9
Norwich
46
65
Norwich
46
65
18
Portsmouth
46
55
Portsmouth
46
55
19
Charlton
46
53
Charlton
46
53
20
Blackburn
46
52
Blackburn
46
52
💬 COMMENTARY
90'
CARD · Yellow Card
Unsportsmanlike conduct
90'
CARD · Yellow Card
Foul
60'
CARD · Yellow Card
Foul
23'
⚽
Sammie Szmodics
Normal Goal
54'
🔄
Sammie Szmodics
Substitution 1
59'
🔄
Sonny Carey
Substitution 1
59'
🔄
Matt Godden
Substitution 2
60'
🟨
Sondre Langås
Yellow Card
61'
⚽
Lloyd Jones
Normal Goal
73'
🔄
Karlan Grant
Substitution 3
80'
⚽
T. Campbell
Normal Goal
83'
🔄
Oscar Fraulo
Substitution 2
83'
🔄
Craig Forsyth
Substitution 3
84'
🔄
Joe Ward
Substitution 4
84'
🔄
Lewis Travis
Substitution 5
85'
🔄
Nathaniel Chalobah
Substitution 4
85'
🔄
Danny McNamara
Substitution 5
90'
🟨
Alex Mowatt
Yellow Card
90'+8
🟨
Rhian Brewster
Yellow Card
13
SHOTS
15
4
ON TARGET
4
45
POSSESSION %
55
1.07
XG
1.01
5
CORNERS
4
7
FOULS
15
0
YELLOW CARDS
3
13
TOTAL SHOTS
15
4
ON TARGET
4
4
OFF TARGET
5
5
BLOCKED
6
9
INSIDE BOX
11
4
OUTSIDE BOX
4
1.07
XG
1.01
368
TOTAL PASSES
461
280
ACCURATE
351
76
ACCURACY %
76
45
POSSESSION %
55
5
CORNERS
4
0
OFFSIDES
1
3
GK SAVES
2
7
FOULS
15
0
YELLOW CARDS
3
0
RED CARDS
0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
Charlton
5 sh
Tyreece Ca...
2/2
Lloyd Jone...
1/1
Nathaniel...
0/1
Karlan Gra...
1/1
Derby
3 sh
Sammie Szm...
2/3
📈 xG RACE
1.07 – 1.01
Charlton
Derby
Charlton
4-2-3-1
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 10 Recent meetings
3
Charlton
2
D Draws
5
Derby
RECENT MEETINGS
⚡ AI TOP PICK
Derby
PROJECTED: 0-1
47%
CONF 62
WIN PROBABILITY
25%
Charlton
28%
Draw
47%
Derby
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
| MODEL | Charlt... | D | Derby |
|---|---|---|---|
| POISSON | 27% | 31% | 42% |
| ELO | 27% | 19% | 54% |
| DL | 25% | 28% | 47% |
| FINAL | 25% | 28% | 47% |
PREDICTED SCORE
0 - 1
📊 OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
18%
OVER 3.5
—
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
22%
YES
78%
NO
💡 KEY FACTORS
Derby leading 1-0 at HT with Charlton's poor home form (WLLLL); away win favoured.
Derby 1-goal lead at 46' — low-scoring pattern typical in this matchup
Charlton's home form catastrophic (1W-4L in last 5 at Valley)
Derby's away record mixed (1W-3L) but H2H shows Derby slight edge (3W-1D-1L in last 5)
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
10 bk
OVER
1.36
UNDER
2.99
2.5
11 bk
OVER
2.15
UNDER
1.68
3.5
10 bk
OVER
3.83
UNDER
1.24
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
1.82
10 bk
NO
1.89
10 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25
1.61 7bk
Away -0.5
1.46 6bk
Away -0.75
1.31 6bk
Away -1
1.15 5bk
Away -1.25
1.12 4bk
Away -1.5
1.10 5bk
🏟 STADIUM
The Valley
London · 27,111 seats
REFEREE
Benjamin Speedie, England
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Benjamin Speed...
—
CHA... MGR
Nathan Jones
head coach
DER... MGR
John Eustace
head coach
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
Charlton · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
Derby · 20 OUT
Matthew Clar...
· Red Card
Lars-Jørgen...
· Muscle Injur...
Callum Elder
· Toe Injury
Kane Wilson
· Knee Surgery
+ 16 more
KICK-OFFSat, 15 Aug · 14:00
RoundRegular Season - 1
Season2026
SURFACEGrass
CAPACITY27,111
🏟
The Valley
London · 27,111