⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Charlotte
PROJECTED: 1-1
46%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
46%
Charlotte
27%
Draw
27%
New York C...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
39%
31%
31%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
53%
18%
30%
DL
25% WEIGHT
46%
27%
27%
FINAL BLEND
46%
27%
27%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.08 vs 0.92
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
53%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
15 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CHARLOTTE FACTORS
+25%
Charlotte home form DLLLW is poor (1W in 5) vs NYCFC away form LWWWL is strong (3W in 5)
+20%
H2H shows split results with recent NYCFC away win (1-2) offset by Charlotte home win (2-1 in April)
CONTEXT
·
Evenly matched teams with contradictory form signals; slight home edge but draw is live at these odds.
·
Equal league position (both 15 pts, 7th/8th) and nearly balanced GF/GA; no quality mismatch
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
57%
Nicolás Fernández
AWY · 8g/12
2
43%
Pep Biel
HOM · 6g/12
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
Charlotte
2
Draw
4
New York C...
18 Apr
1-2
08 Nov
1-3
01 Nov
0-0
28 Oct
0-1
20 Sep
2-0
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.