GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Cerezo Osaka
Sat, 08 Aug · 10:00
J1 League
Fagiano Okayama
TOP PICK
Cerezo Osaka
PROJECTED: 1-0
48%
CONF 38
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Cerezo Osa...
32%
Draw
20%
Fagiano Ok...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
43% 31% 26%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
56% 23% 21%
DL 25% WEIGHT
48% 32% 20%
FINAL BLEND
48% 32% 20%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.11 vs 0.79
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
42%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
38%
BTTS NO
62%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
3 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 32% 3.30 +5.6%
HOME or Draw (1X)
3 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 80% 1.28 +2.4%
HOME to Win
3 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 2.08 0.0%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
3 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.74 -9.3%
HOME or AWAY (12)
3 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 68% 1.28 -12.7%
Over 2.5 Goals
2 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 42% 1.89 -20.6%
AWAY to Win
3 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 20% 3.35 -33.0%
Both Teams Score — YES
3 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 1.72 -34.8%
CONTEXT
· Match is 3 minutes old; home edge supported by H2H record but away form is sharp — treat as weak signal.
· H2H favors Cerezo (3W-1L in last 5), but only 2 road wins in recent form for Okayama
· Cerezo home form mixed (DWWDW) — no dominant signal
· Very early in match (3') — minimal momentum data; home advantage baseline applies
⚽ NEXT GOALSCORER
1
Solomon Sakuragawa
HOM · F · 8g/20
64%
2
Thiago Andrade
HOM · F · 6g/19
36%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
6
Cerezo Osa...
3
Draw
1
Fagiano Ok...
24 May 2-3
18 Mar 1-2
18 Oct 1-2
02 Apr 2-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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