GOALSENSE
📊 FULL-TIME STATS
20 SHOTS 6
5 ON TARGET 3
41 POSSESSION % 59
9 CORNERS 0
17 FOULS 14
1 YELLOW CARDS 0
2.34 XG 0.61
278 PASSES 431
⚡ KEY EVENTS
35' ⚽ Gaizka Larrazabal Normal Goal
52' ⚽ Jalen Blesa Normal Goal
59' 🔄 Sebastián Pérez Substitution
59' 🔄 Dailon Rocha Livramento Substitution
63' 🔄 Dario Špikić Substitution
76' 🔄 Kevin Prieto Substitution
80' 🟨 Joao Marques Yellow Card
82' 🔄 Diogo Bezerra Substitution
⭐ MAN OF THE MATCH
Joao Marques
8.3
RATING
📋 PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
Casa Pia
8.3 Joao Marques
7.3 David Sousa
7.2 Gaizka Larrazabal
Rio Ave
Jakub Brabec 7.3
Ennio Van Der Gouw 7.3
Diogo Bezerra 7.2
🏆 LEAGUE CONTEXT
11 Alverca 34 39
12 Rio Ave 34 36
13 Santa Clara 34 36
15 Estrela 34 30
16 Casa Pia 34 30
17 Tondela 34 28
35' ⚽
Gaizka Larrazabal
Normal Goal
52' ⚽
Jalen Blesa
Normal Goal
59' 🔄
Sebastián Pérez
Substitution 1
59' 🔄
Dailon Rocha Livramento
Substitution 2
63' 🔄
Dario Špikić
Substitution 1
76' 🔄
Kevin Prieto
Substitution 3
80' 🟨
Joao Marques
Yellow Card
82' 🔄
Diogo Bezerra
Substitution 2
86' 🔄
Pedro Rosas
Substitution 4
86' 🔄
Lawrence Ofori
Substitution 5
88' 🔄
Tamblé Monteiro
Substitution 3
88' 🔄
João Tomé
Substitution 4
20 SHOTS 6
5 ON TARGET 3
41 POSSESSION % 59
2.34 XG 0.61
9 CORNERS 0
17 FOULS 14
1 YELLOW CARDS 0
20 TOTAL SHOTS 6
5 ON TARGET 3
7 OFF TARGET 2
8 BLOCKED 1
12 INSIDE BOX 2
8 OUTSIDE BOX 4
2.34 XG 0.61
278 TOTAL PASSES 431
204 ACCURATE 349
73 ACCURACY % 81
41 POSSESSION % 59
9 CORNERS 0
3 OFFSIDES 0
2 GK SAVES 4
17 FOULS 14
1 YELLOW CARDS 0
0 RED CARDS 0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
Casa Pia 6 sh
Gaizka Lar... 3/3
Joao Marqu... 0/2
David Sous... 0/1
Rio Ave 1 sh
Diogo Beze... 1/1
📈 xG RACE 2.34 – 0.61
2.3 0 0' 90'
Casa Pia Rio Ave
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 10 Recent meetings
2
Casa Pia
4
D Draws
4
Rio Ave
⚡ AI TOP PICK
Casa Pia
PROJECTED: 1-1
48%
CONF 45
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Casa Pia
28%
Draw
24%
Rio Ave
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
MODEL Casa P... D Rio Av...
POISSON 40% 31% 30%
ELO 55% 19% 26%
DL 48% 28% 24%
FINAL 48% 28% 24%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
📊 OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
—
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
58%
YES
42%
NO
💡 KEY FACTORS
Early scoreless tie; Casa Pia home form weak (LLDDD) but Rio Ave road form mixed — slight edge to away team despite lower league position.
Casa Pia home form severely undermines home edge (LLDDD vs Rio Ave road LWWWL split)
Rio Ave 4 pts higher in table (13th vs 16th); 4 minutes in means form dominates
Bookmaker home-win 52.6% slightly high given Casa Pia's recent home struggles
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
OVER
1.27
UNDER
3.48
9 bk
2.5
OVER
1.89
UNDER
1.89
10 bk
3.5
OVER
3.22
UNDER
1.31
9 bk
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
1.78
9 bk
NO
1.94
9 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.40 6bk
Away -0.5 2.06 6bk
Away -0.75 1.78 7bk
Away -1 1.53 7bk
Away -1.25 1.41 6bk
Away -1.5 1.33 8bk
🏟 STADIUM
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Rio Maior · 8,500 seats
REFEREE
H. Malheiro
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
H. Malheiro
—
CAS... MGR
Alvaro Pacheco
head coach
RIO... MGR
Sotiris Sylaid...
head coach
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
Casa Pia · 0 OUT

No injuries reported

Rio Ave · 0 OUT

No injuries reported

KICK-OFFSat, 16 May · 17:00
RoundRegular Season - 34
Season2025
SURFACEGrass
CAPACITY8,500
🏟
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Rio Maior · 8,500